Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x385fb864292e281d48c42ad887b11215d2e43b139d20486f320553ab1efaf615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 4,431$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.85 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,535$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.05 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 25c | 1,249$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 24c | 799.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 24c | 601.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 24c | 556$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 75c | 414.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 25c | 270.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 199.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 195.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 161.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…1bdbbacked Over | 24c | 61.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 77c | 53.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…009abacked Under | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 62c | 43.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 77c | 28.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 77c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.