TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x63d6…3273

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST4153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.31
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+54.1%+$43.32
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$135.19
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+141.7%+$28.34
Will Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$28.24
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Altmaier vs. Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodarbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$49.03
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.