TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$409,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Over50c53,498$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c47,741$24,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,274.41,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over31c41,004$12,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,711.177146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c25,935$12,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,758.9846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2a…a876backed Over48c22,820$10,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,953.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b01…9512backed Under52c22,501$11,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,800.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa0…ce92backed Over48c21,151$10,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,152.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe09…399dbacked Under52c19,450$10,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over60c18,675$11,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,160.081526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under49c10,984$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,551.5758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under50c6,931$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.1826645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c6,170$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.1959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked Under51c5,424$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed Under51c5,268$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c4,851$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.61,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under47c4,510$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.8116036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over49c3,552$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7335646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1423…e883backed Over45c3,400$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…03e2backed Under52c3,400$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817e…7c6cbacked Over0c3,057$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Under52c3,049$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50026047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Over48c2,606$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over50c2,337$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.744766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over49c2,245$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0126…4047backed Under50c2,130$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0653100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under52c2,046$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.393754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c1,922$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.6729350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc6d…9f36backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over50c1,870$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9356259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over33c1,745$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over49c1,647$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.6212344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over15c1,633$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.882040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over50c1,513$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2668…2c56backed Over44c1,237$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c1,108$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.0639743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.415252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Under53c839.58$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.543056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over61c807$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.273464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3287…3dc3backed Over48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf75e…c325backed Under53c730$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+211.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c729$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9215349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over41c716.76$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.611822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1d…f7e4backed Under53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over48c697.92$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3352437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c681.85$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4442438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb10…324dbacked Over48c680$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over51c647.06$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303450%17 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over41c631.76$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.027943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c611.16$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.6928543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under52c599.74$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.884542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.042450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under72c525$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.44353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over51c509.8$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9922647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Over49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aaf…e0a8backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fd…db80backed Over50c400.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d3…eb28backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over32c381.75$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over41c331.92$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over31c318$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.615657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under41c305$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15044955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e9…cb06backed Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c299.67$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6160136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over44c296.95$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.663423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over49c285.45$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.871250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Under50c285$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0d…53a5backed Under51c233.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over47c232.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.435036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a49…50bcbacked Over43c230$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over56c228.57$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under50c225$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.511152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Under51c224.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.956145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d1…8e71backed Under65c216.1$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under51c212.69$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over26c211.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under53c208.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.23548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c203.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9620644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over49c201.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984766%31 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Over51c197.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over50c192.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.031650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over29c185$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.34259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.87639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over48c179.65$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.232035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over49c177.09$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.779841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.