Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f3f1a9463ce72a1ca2a2c533ac94b07d02094f535db9a2af6e74b0b60c4a55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bayer 04 Leverkusenof Olympiakós SFP, Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympiakós SFP | 17c | 1,629$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.51 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympiakós SFP | 17c | 1,100$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…aa16backed Olympiakós SFP | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Olympiakós SFP | 17c | 348$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Olympiakós SFP | 19c | 176.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Olympiakós SFP | 15c | 174.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Olympiakós SFP | 18c | 157.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olympiakós SFP | 16c | 93.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Olympiakós SFP | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympiakós SFP | 13c | 77.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)this page
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.