TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes59c33,906$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes55c20,938$11,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,515.937146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No40c11,834$4,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,100.496344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c8,500$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.531,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c6,632$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.9659441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes55c5,900$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.9712344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c5,292$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.81,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No43c3,260$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.3316036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No42c3,185$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.0928543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x817e…7c6cbacked Yes0c3,038$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No45c2,637$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.324139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes58c2,116$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2271643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c1,444$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0526047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes56c1,400$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77738748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69aa…e28bbacked Yes57c1,242$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes56c1,240$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.6229350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes56c1,158$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No43c1,090$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.2624327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No45c952.14$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.25060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No44c811.34$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3510733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes55c723.64$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3983345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Yes55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38560%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3855152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes51c682.32$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.936761.2%41 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506145.9%28 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes42c524.18$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.615334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes56c499.94$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9713349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes28c490$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes55c456$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.85949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes55c372$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002737%10 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c351.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2860648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9524…e904backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002688.5%23 W · 3 L+8.1wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+60.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No40c350$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21023947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes58c345.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes37c273.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked No45c268.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.683953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c264.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1943427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes58c260.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc326…a3e3backed Yes54c245.76$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.48944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed No43c242.16$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked No44c238.95$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.816952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes48c231$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.437238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes58c224.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309924.2%24 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes37c213.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805651.8%29 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No45c205.84$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.214542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No51c201.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.251040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No60c194.88$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.139966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005050%25 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006852.9%36 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.47639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2353…67bfbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x296f…eeb0backed Yes55c173.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No42c172.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x292f…918dbacked No61c161$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes56c151.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4639746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.59948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes56c149.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.989150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f6…8cc7backed Yes56c132.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No45c124.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0311846.6%55 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes57c106.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607266.7%48 W · 24 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes48c104.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.263246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Yes44c101.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565226.9%14 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55100%0 W · 10 L-5.3wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552360.9%14 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+127.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554540%18 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No43c96.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5214645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes57c96.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33f…6403backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+115.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes36c84.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.795036%18 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No47c83.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7941238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes46c83.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed No45c81.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.683548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Yes56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No65c70.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9322356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.95752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d7…0ed9backed Yes55c62.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No44c61.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.445448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.