TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0d7…0ed9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+73.5%+$23.5
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
Stanford Cardinal vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+70.2%+$140.44
Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+164.1%+$328.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+192.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+485.7%+$195.75
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$32.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100.5%+$50.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Falkirk FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+94.5%+$47.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+78%+$38.98
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.