La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d4857750334f87c8f98fda9527d7bf1da41d79d302fc705da86eeac5317de4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 18,510$10,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,180.43 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 45c | 7,131$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.05 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,858$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.42 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 2,799$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.83 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 45c | 2,287$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.84 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,273$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.84 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 795.27$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 491$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 45c | 333$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 143.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 97.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…6255backed Over | 55c | 87.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 54c | 73.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 52.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 52c | 39.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over | 55c | 23.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Castellón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.