Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ac3eeeb2b07ba6a362ab68049b71817cbcb3a41d8de65cd7ce2c3e93aba6369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 58c | 127,853$74,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,162.46 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 58c | 83,764$48,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,583.15 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 42c | 51,837$21,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,065.73 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 36,813$15,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,942.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 59c | 28,510$16,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,774.84 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 25,708$10,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,818.21 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 16,076$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,534.91 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 42c | 14,829$6,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600.82 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 13,526$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 42c | 9,426$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 42c | 8,714$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.28 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 42c | 6,436$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.88 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…b645backed Over | 42c | 6,036$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Over | 43c | 5,922$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…c0dbbacked Over | 43c | 4,882$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 41c | 4,205$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.12 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 3,063$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.41 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…fb61backed Over | 44c | 1,375$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 43c | 1,177$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 43c | 1,166$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.62 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 42c | 1,079$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 77c | 913.79$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 57c | 904.89$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.99 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Over | 43c | 813.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 41c | 580.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Over | 44c | 571.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…73a1backed Under | 59c | 533.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…8347backed Over | 43c | 484.69$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 45c | 451.11$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.11 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 43c | 393.8$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 351.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 57c | 348.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 56c | 331.21$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.16 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 43c | 309.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.69 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 43c | 300$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 41c | 285.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Under | 45c | 277.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Over | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 179.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 59c | 177.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 43c | 160$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Under | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 42c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 54c | 105.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 89.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…3fe1backed Under | 57c | 89.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed Under | 58c | 88.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 57c | 88.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…0ed9backed Under | 57c | 87.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…c212backed Under | 58c | 86.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 42c | 82.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Over | 43c | 72.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 69c | 72.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 31c | 71.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…3ab9backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…eb3dbacked Over | 43c | 58.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 51c | 57.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 42c | 55.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…b3c2backed Under | 31c | 48.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 42c | 47.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 46.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…0a29backed Under | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 42c | 41.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.