TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2da1…26a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT8960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.92
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+99%+$11.19
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.61
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+101.9%+$23.05
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+46.3%+$9.98
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.8%+$11.77
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.04
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.3%+$23
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.17
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+109.3%+$30.98
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+105.3%+$27.14
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+29.6%+$5.17
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.42
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.87
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+77.6%+$11.76
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.8%+$13.2
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99.26
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+48.8%+$18.79
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+115.3%+$12.63
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+83.2%+$16.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+59.5%+$18.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$72.15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+30.3%+$4.64
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8
Fulham FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$11.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63%+$6.91
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.86
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$53.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+93.1%+$13.33
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+95.7%+$17.25
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34%+$5.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+30.6%+$8.79
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$15.15
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.48
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$25.08
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+64.7%+$8.29
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33.92
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.95
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$53.82
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$8.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+116%+$17.16
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$5.04
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.61
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.82
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.33
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+74.3%+$18.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.3%+$20.49
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.2%+$7.37
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57.57
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$42.74
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+134%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+191.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+90.8%+$15.88
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.4%+$16.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.76
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$288.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.8%+$6.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.