NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ef92f86bfffd8fff39d861f95dfcd8c2bd1ba458af85eb6f2dab2c5c3f1ced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Pistons | 50c | 250,000$125,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,000 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Cavaliers | 50c | 74,000$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,000 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Pistons | 51c | 64,325$32,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,805.57 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 63,046$31,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,041.82 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 36,324$18,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,162.13 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Pistons | 57c | 30,858$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 17,271$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.53 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 17,078$8,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,539 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Cavaliers | 50c | 15,620$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…a62fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 15,420$7,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 56c | 13,832$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,740.21 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Pistons | 48c | 13,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.96 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 11,788$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,893.85 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Cavaliers | 46c | 10,824$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,846.62 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Cavaliers | 43c | 10,520$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,996.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Cavaliers | 43c | 10,497$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.29 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 10,233$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.74 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 10,121$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.83 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Pistons | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 9,529$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 9,394$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.15 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 42c | 8,094$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 6,388$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Pistons | 50c | 6,110$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,496$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.98 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,100$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.75 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…11ecbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 5,050$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,657$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.08 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pistons | 47c | 4,424$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.05 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Pistons | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,279$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 45c | 4,249$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Cavaliers | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.96 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 49c | 4,097$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 49c | 3,885$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Pistons | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 48c | 2,735$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.64 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Pistons | 57c | 2,647$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,286$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.85 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…263ebacked Cavaliers | 58c | 2,038$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons | 52c | 2,005$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.49 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.07 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Pistons | 56c | 1,901$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,900$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.3 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pistons | 56c | 1,854$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.51 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…2d0fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,559$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.48 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,444$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.43 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Cavaliers | 44c | 1,356$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.04 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,285$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,223$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 1,116$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pistons | 60c | 1,091$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.14 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,030$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.04 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pistons | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Pistons | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Pistons | 48c | 857$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.36 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pistons | 51c | 800$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a2c2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 702.04$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 653.23$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons | 59c | 648.25$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.47 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Cavaliers | 54c | 569.68$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.05 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36c1…deecbacked Pistons | 54c | 567.18$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Pistons | 54c | 566.11$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.7 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Pistons | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Pistons | 46c | 500.1$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pistons | 66c | 500$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.24 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pistons | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Cavaliers | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Pistons | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…44dfbacked Pistons | 50c | 494$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…9bcbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 488$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…4397backed Pistons | 50c | 481$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 480$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…70cdbacked Pistons | 50c | 478$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…2b1ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 476$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Pistons | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…41ccbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 462$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f2…e32abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 462$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Cavaliers | 50c | 459.35$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.68 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 61c | 459.31$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef11…a0f0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…52e3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 442$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…3e53backed Pistons | 50c | 438$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259f…635cbacked Pistons | 50c | 436$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…4939backed Pistons | 50c | 434$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…d187backed Cavaliers | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 57c | 417.36$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…7806backed Pistons | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…10c6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 406$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…52aabacked Pistons | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…bc54backed Pistons | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.