NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27acf4f5ec974ca532ab15c012e4f15c22984dfdb356c580db9994acdf1dcc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 9,484$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.52 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 8,718$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.55 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 5,873$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 49c | 4,141$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.99 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 4,011$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 3,985$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 47c | 3,430$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.1 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 52c | 2,733$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.16 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 2,550$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 50c | 2,300$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.98 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 53c | 1,744$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.46 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 47c | 1,642$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.29 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 1,545$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.19 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 1,545$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.15 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 1,519$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.69 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 1,381$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.07 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 58c | 1,363$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.59 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 969.04$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 932.97$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.72 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 74c | 818.7$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 746$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.7 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 745.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 649.08$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Under | 42c | 602$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 55c | 598.44$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.56 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 36c | 502.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…c0adbacked Over | 50c | 492$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…2424backed Over | 50c | 486$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb09…634fbacked Under | 50c | 476$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 37c | 473.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.59 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…edd3backed Over | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 453.84$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…67eabacked Under | 50c | 452$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…a882backed Over | 50c | 446$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…4101backed Under | 50c | 442$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755b…1b1cbacked Under | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…2ea1backed Under | 50c | 436$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f3…c89bbacked Over | 50c | 422$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…4965backed Over | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 408.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 74c | 404.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 394.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…f768backed Under | 50c | 376$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Over | 53c | 376$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd4…947fbacked Under | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…4d2cbacked Over | 50c | 364$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353d…9c39backed Under | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…a5ebbacked Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 321.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385c…5299backed Over | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 302$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 297.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…e1febacked Over | 50c | 292$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 277.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 41c | 267.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 49c | 257$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…4604backed Under | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 238.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 43c | 234.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 65c | 232.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 229.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Under | 46c | 217.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 46c | 199.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 52c | 193.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 48c | 193.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 191.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 158.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 38c | 157.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 53c | 157$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 24c | 146.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Under | 76c | 145.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 144.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 143.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 36c | 139.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 45c | 137.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 126.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 58c | 126.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 32c | 116.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Over | 45c | 110.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 46c | 107.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 54c | 102.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Over | 59c | 102.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 48c | 100.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 59c | 82.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.