NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6afd31147172e6288ef9cda553c1b6dc2237f28567e8b42334d35762caacad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 39c | 13,012$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 61c | 7,510$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.04 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 60c | 3,901$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.54 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 2,501$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 2,478$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 1,612$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Under | 47c | 950$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.5 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 53c | 950$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 60c | 540$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 389.96$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 50c | 383.84$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.92 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 56c | 357.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Over | 58c | 353.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 46c | 330.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 296.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Over | 55c | 253.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 46c | 243.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Over | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ada…7e9cbacked Over | 54c | 207.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Under | 45c | 206.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Over | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 177.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 159.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 63c | 158.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 55c | 144$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 142.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 132.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 123.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…51b7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 58c | 69.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 42c | 64.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 45c | 63.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 62.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 50c | 58.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 50c | 57.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 51.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 60c | 47.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 71c | 44.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Over | 61c | 43.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Over | 58c | 43.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 49c | 37.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 57c | 35.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 44c | 34.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 31.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 29.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…fbb3backed Over | 58c | 26.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 57c | 26.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 58c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 60c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Over | 49c | 20.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 57c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…e52ebacked Under | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.