NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f36358b562132e49925bbe478e86a5d85421e052c8aba7a7c2d96db4bfc023d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,077,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,447,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,077,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,088 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Cavaliers | 27c | 567,408$153,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,200.12 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Pistons | 75c | 190,000$142,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,500 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pistons | 72c | 146,061$105,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,356.49 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pistons | 73c | 122,400$89,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,483.08 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Cavaliers | 28c | 100,674$28,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,685.76 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 71c | 100,248$71,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,797.26 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons | 76c | 93,994$71,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,558.54 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 73c | 93,083$67,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,132.46 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 35c | 83,009$29,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,169.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 33c | 73,935$24,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,113.71 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Pistons | 78c | 63,698$49,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,740.92 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 71c | 61,978$43,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,134.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 77c | 58,442$44,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,467.04 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Cavaliers | 26c | 55,248$14,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,533.56 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 52,500$13,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,125 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Pistons | 75c | 51,484$38,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,004.53 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 68c | 50,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 29c | 43,525$12,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,617.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Cavaliers | 27c | 41,400$11,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,178 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Pistons | 22c | 40,721$9,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,603.83 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 72c | 40,632$29,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,445.06 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Cavaliers | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pistons | 75c | 39,221$29,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,929.01 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 36,252$11,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,238.12 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 73c | 35,555$25,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.97 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers | 27c | 33,173$8,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,924.67 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 43c | 32,782$14,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,592.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pistons | 73c | 31,623$23,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,538.2 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 36c | 30,444$11,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,067.07 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 30,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Pistons | 73c | 28,201$20,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,479.95 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Cavaliers | 25c | 27,582$6,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895.51 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Pistons | 74c | 26,658$19,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,036.51 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Cavaliers | 27c | 26,146$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.42 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 34c | 25,731$8,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,735.23 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Cavaliers | 27c | 25,530$6,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893.1 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 68c | 25,169$17,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,036.39 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Cavaliers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pistons | 75c | 24,859$18,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,246.95 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Cavaliers | 27c | 22,812$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.08 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Pistons | 58c | 22,242$12,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,355.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 31c | 21,720$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,733.09 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cavaliers | 27c | 21,552$5,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,818.91 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Pistons | 70c | 21,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Cavaliers | 30c | 21,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.98 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 76c | 20,880$15,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.39 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Pistons | 71c | 20,674$14,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.49 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Cavaliers | 34c | 20,373$6,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 43c | 20,325$8,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,673.65 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Pistons | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Pistons | 69c | 19,340$13,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 18,518$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.48 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Pistons | 65c | 18,252$11,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,381.81 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers | 24c | 17,639$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.83 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272a…88cfbacked Cavaliers | 0c | 17,220$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Cavaliers | 53c | 16,881$8,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,868.45 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pistons | 73c | 16,384$11,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.72 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 70c | 16,159$11,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.96 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 46c | 16,030$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.26 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 26c | 15,681$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 28c | 15,642$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 15,631$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.11 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 15,058$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.8 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Cavaliers | 25c | 15,018$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.4 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Cavaliers | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…90aebacked Cavaliers | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Pistons | 73c | 14,405$10,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.35 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers | 38c | 14,375$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.19 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Cavaliers | 30c | 14,293$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.66 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…2201backed Pistons | 70c | 14,197$9,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pistons | 50c | 13,902$6,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.56 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…1223backed Cavaliers | 32c | 13,844$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons | 41c | 13,489$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,908.66 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 69c | 13,061$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.28 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…d177backed Pistons | 58c | 12,942$7,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons | 57c | 12,815$7,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,517.66 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pistons | 72c | 12,568$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.98 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Cavaliers | 30c | 12,324$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.6 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Pistons | 75c | 12,146$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.31 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 70c | 12,049$8,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.73 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 12,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers | 31c | 11,951$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.93 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Cavaliers | 37c | 11,824$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,337.01 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pistons | 68c | 11,788$8,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.56 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Pistons | 73c | 11,648$8,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.95 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Cavaliers | 28c | 11,570$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Pistons | 55c | 10,858$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Pistons | 63c | 10,834$6,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.67 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 30c | 10,100$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 29c | 10,017$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.93 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Cavaliers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…7f1abacked Cavaliers | 30c | 9,998$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Pistons | 69c | 9,924$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.54 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cavaliers | 25c | 9,804$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Cavaliers | 24c | 9,703$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.78 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Cavaliers | 28c | 9,640$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.86 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Pistons | 75c | 9,319$6,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.91 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Pistons | 70c | 9,300$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.