NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b88bce19f6cc46861f23edbe7be4d03c2a9bc6f985fb1dfae5a5fa878c7e00a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Pistons | 53c | 71,123$37,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,785.5 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cavaliers | 47c | 58,500$27,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,020.61 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 40,000$18,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,733.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Pistons | 50c | 28,000$13,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,879.98 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Pistons | 54c | 27,973$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 21,662$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,480.7 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 53c | 19,990$10,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,594.48 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 52c | 18,707$9,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,727.75 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Cavaliers | 47c | 14,321$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,531.58 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers | 48c | 12,011$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.5 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pistons | 50c | 9,525$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.42 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,596$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 6,376$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…61d6backed Cavaliers | 56c | 5,964$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 49c | 5,874$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 54c | 5,800$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.96 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 53c | 5,747$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Pistons | 53c | 5,688$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 50c | 5,311$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,715$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.99 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Cavaliers | 47c | 3,703$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.59 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Pistons | 50c | 3,608$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.56 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 54c | 3,586$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.33 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,349$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,255$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Pistons | 45c | 3,115$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.51 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 53c | 3,024$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…fcc6backed Pistons | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 46c | 2,793$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0b…bb7cbacked Pistons | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,478$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.56 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,254$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.05 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,057$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cavaliers | 64c | 2,000$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.81 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,778$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.81 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pistons | 52c | 1,727$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.53 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers | 64c | 1,171$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.56 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,149$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 50c | 1,003$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 48c | 983.96$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cavaliers | 54c | 922.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.91 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Pistons | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Cavaliers | 64c | 806.13$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 50c | 732.02$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 730$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers | 56c | 699.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cavaliers | 58c | 674.05$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.1 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 42c | 636.55$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 49c | 578.65$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 571.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.49 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Cavaliers | 50c | 550$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Pistons | 45c | 534.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Pistons | 46c | 509.26$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.26 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pistons | 49c | 501.75$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 45c | 469$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…9e42backed Pistons | 44c | 464.27$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…ccf7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 431.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cavaliers | 51c | 431$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Cavaliers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 401.39$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 47c | 400.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Pistons | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…63dbbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 382.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 361$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Cavaliers | 63c | 325.44$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Pistons | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 56c | 274.13$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Cavaliers | 14c | 244.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.02 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Cavaliers | 57c | 211$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Cavaliers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b1…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 56c | 204.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 196.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Pistons | 44c | 192.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Pistons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 62c | 186.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Pistons | 43c | 182.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cavaliers | 69c | 159.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Pistons | 52c | 147.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Cavaliers | 66c | 147.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pistons | 52c | 145.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Cavaliers | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 44c | 136.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Cavaliers | 45c | 130.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 130.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Pistons | 34c | 124.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pistons | 34c | 121.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Cavaliers | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 117.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Cavaliers | 51c | 114.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…24fdbacked Pistons | 45c | 112.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Pistons | 48c | 111.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…1e8abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 45c | 104.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 103.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.