NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51cbfb5627fe521035a41d11e5aca268dc917f70df0b2f49512d7b342ea7945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 20,082$9,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,119.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.05 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 50c | 9,627$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.5 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 49c | 8,970$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 48c | 6,631$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.35 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 5,943$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 4,983$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.57 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 48c | 4,759$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.32 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 3,511$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.61 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 3,112$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.13 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,719$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.33 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 53c | 1,387$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.48 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 56c | 1,262$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.34 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Under | 52c | 1,174$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 808.69$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…77f3backed Under | 52c | 759.6$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 635.64$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…df83backed Under | 56c | 620$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 51c | 564.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 554.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 52c | 516.04$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.89 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 406.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 49c | 397.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 307.36$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 296.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 268.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 228.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed Under | 52c | 213.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 50c | 206.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 49c | 204.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…51b7backed Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Under | 54c | 186.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Over | 50c | 181.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Over | 51c | 98.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Under | 80c | 83.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 50c | 77.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…b532backed Under | 55c | 70.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 52c | 57.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 56c | 57.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 52.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 49c | 47.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5b…a4d9backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 41.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 50c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Under | 50c | 39.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 61c | 32.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 31.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…e52ebacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Under | 58c | 30.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe07…e280backed Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…c08bbacked Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under | 52c | 21.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…7e9fbacked Under | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.