TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c20,082$9,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,119.782,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.051,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under50c9,627$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.529650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over49c8,970$4,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,574.685547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over48c6,631$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.3552460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c5,943$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c4,983$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.5782442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under48c4,759$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.3252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c3,511$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.612,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c3,112$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.1364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c1,719$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.3380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,650$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under53c1,387$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.481,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under53c1,277$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under56c1,262$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.3426553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Under52c1,174$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103060%18 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0424050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9967252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c808.69$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Under52c759.6$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.615431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c635.64$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ba…df83backed Under56c620$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under51c564.71$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c554.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.572,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c516.04$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.893,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c406.9$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.582,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20465649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Over49c397.96$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9621355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c307.36$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over50c296.32$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c268.96$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c228.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.013,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed Under52c213.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under50c206.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over49c204.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5414155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…51b7backed Under51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.966852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under52c192.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Under54c186.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.744742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Over50c181.82$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9110251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5139435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5133949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Over51c98.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.698558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1554549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Under80c83.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c77.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfac…b532backed Under55c70.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Under52c57.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.027544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.695356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Under56c57.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1519435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c52.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.861,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2531540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.027152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over49c47.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5b…a4d9backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c41.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over50c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4121948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Under50c39.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.644546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under61c32.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6426043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over39c31.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.012,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb57…e52ebacked Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Under58c30.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4110156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8512857.8%74 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe07…e280backed Under52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.756446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bde…237abacked Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.853053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa684…ca71backed Under51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126440.6%26 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Under51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under52c21.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e92…7e9fbacked Under51c20.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.287950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.