NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8be90b16ce15ad2c4aa7295df8365ab8776f1be9ceb4a565e3dc4ed5ad285b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pistons | 53c | 36,372$19,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,342.54 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers | 48c | 32,829$15,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.11 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 20,045$8,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,373.15 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 47c | 18,000$8,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,370 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…d177backed Cavaliers | 53c | 15,626$8,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,344.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Pistons | 47c | 10,909$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.35 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 10,352$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.04 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 10,133$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.18 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…b1e0backed Pistons | 52c | 9,985$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 53c | 6,724$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.7 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 49c | 6,186$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,449$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.11 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 57c | 2,947$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 54c | 2,291$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,164$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Pistons | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 49c | 1,752$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.91 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,742$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,520$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.33 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons | 51c | 1,507$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.79 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pistons | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Pistons | 61c | 1,371$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.09 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 44c | 1,197$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,127$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.27 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.92 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pistons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Pistons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 979.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pistons | 59c | 949.87$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.68 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Pistons | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 924.4$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.27 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 922$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 47c | 804.34$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Pistons | 62c | 790.32$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 780.64$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.32 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pistons | 49c | 735.8$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.46 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Pistons | 47c | 674.28$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pistons | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 646.36$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.62 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Pistons | 63c | 638.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…0801backed Pistons | 51c | 637.25$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Cavaliers | 52c | 571.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 477.79$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Pistons | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Pistons | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Cavaliers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Pistons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Pistons | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Pistons | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Cavaliers | 53c | 344$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 262$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 52c | 249.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 58c | 229.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Pistons | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Pistons | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 47c | 188$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 54c | 173.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Cavaliers | 79c | 166.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Pistons | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 140.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 131$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Pistons | 17c | 126.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 116.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 115.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Cavaliers | 46c | 108.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cavaliers | 49c | 105.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Pistons | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Cavaliers | 46c | 103.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Pistons | 49c | 102.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 101.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Pistons | 60c | 100.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 100.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Cavaliers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Pistons | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f36dbacked Pistons | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 51c | 97.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Pistons | 56c | 90.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Cavaliers | 55c | 89.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Cavaliers | 47c | 89.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8653…d687backed Cavaliers | 42c | 86.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Pistons | 53c | 84.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Cavaliers | 42c | 84.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Pistons | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 81.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Cavaliers | 41c | 80.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Pistons | 60c | 78.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b68dbacked Pistons | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Pistons | 52c | 76.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Pistons | 30c | 75.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 50c | 70.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.