TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbf2…31f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category AI at 60 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.29
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.54
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$993.6
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$102.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.17
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.76
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.65
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$229.73
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 14?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.29
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+53.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick38cpaid+149.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+148.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+300%+$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$229
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.