TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over53c53,493$28,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,111.2943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c24,829$11,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,031.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c14,689$6,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,794.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c10,819$5,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600.123,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under47c9,938$4,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,267.416346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under47c5,106$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.672,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c3,484$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over54c2,828$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.3490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c2,747$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.831,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under49c2,481$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.8758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over50c2,452$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.0149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,356$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over52c2,174$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.5666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c1,966$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.131,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c1,790$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.231,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,726$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.746,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over68c1,621$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.9260444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over54c1,606$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.1671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over3c1,591$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7229810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,589$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Under51c1,541$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.433860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x021e…6213backed Under47c1,463$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c1,456$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.082,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over53c1,417$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.1231046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over38c1,331$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.9428842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over53c1,301$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.5319756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,291$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c1,259$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.382,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over55c1,068$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.6812542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7718748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under55c921.98$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.3365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over54c822.94$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.398763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under52c748.63$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.341,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over54c722.47$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.737751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under48c719.82$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c698.64$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.645,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under50c639.27$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4219550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Over4c625$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.784835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over53c624.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under48c588.31$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c569.17$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under47c563.97$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.941742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under71c548.84$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3410764.5%69 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under48c502.57$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3332450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b36…56cebacked Over40c494.65$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under42c485.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.533,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under47c484.1$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6333150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d36…c604backed Over53c474.35$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c460.71$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over54c450.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.139552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under55c443.95$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227d…8719backed Over54c439.76$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.83863.2%24 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c430.21$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3614145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under47c410.88$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2220247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over51c369.05$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2210943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under48c367.3$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9917643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over53c364.91$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under47c349.79$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8520353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over52c349.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8116845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under47c343.71$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1713148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under47c342.74$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6511453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under46c326.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0710854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c317.45$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over54c313.03$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9257550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c307.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.452,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under48c306.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked Under49c302.69$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.371361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over10c295.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.892,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under47c294.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over54c291.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5332450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e99…8475backed Over47c289.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.283129%9 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c286.18$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over10c281.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.181,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under48c263.51$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0310750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under47c261.41$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5511858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under48c248.43$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1816450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under48c241.15$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.48646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over53c234.44$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2634953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under48c234.13$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7514445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c231.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under43c220$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.411538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under43c220$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.48040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over52c219.49$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1413352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c212.05$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc631…59a6backed Over51c209.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under47c203.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1128852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under46c199.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6315543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under46c191$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over53c189.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7725049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over54c178.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Under47c172.34$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.345160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.