TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 250.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c21,056$10,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,219.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c8,397$4,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,045.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over48c6,722$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.4887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over48c6,280$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.3166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under51c6,009$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.1712945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c3,222$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.011,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c3,211$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c3,206$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.7990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Over48c2,400$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1526746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c2,270$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.571,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Over48c2,022$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.7514355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,956$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,662$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over47c1,363$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.6525641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c1,187$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.8671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,076$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.1621247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.258859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over49c853.13$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c696.74$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under56c602.17$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under52c485.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0921653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.367751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3619756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c365.74$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c337.49$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under58c336.75$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8114549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c309.36$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.592,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over49c283.36$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8518648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c278.44$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.651,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under52c273.9$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4733554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Under55c230.42$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6913953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c228.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.35,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over47c225.4$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3857550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9425049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over49c195.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under51c189.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over35c185.24$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.091,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c178.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.333,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c175.77$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over41c167.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9937753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over28c142.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.338937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c135.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.21,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under50c129.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9125550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c126.3$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.11,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over48c122.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.047455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c109.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.691,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c108.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under50c107.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1234247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under59c105.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a82…491bbacked Under77c102.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.892070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Under47c102.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.755747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb417…06dcbacked Over53c97.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227d…8719backed Under71c94.82$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.973863.2%24 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8266046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under51c91.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0515252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over50c90.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.034153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c87.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.352,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under61c76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under51c73.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0360945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over47c68.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7629556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Under57c68.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over49c66.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under57c65.17$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.155259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under67c64.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0216867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under48c62.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5628842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.233030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2457051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Over49c49.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.147642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Under67c48.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3c…759bbacked Under52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.419742.3%41 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6440344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over47c42.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under53c41.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4649247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.627359%161 W · 112 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under52c39.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbb…7fdabacked Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Over54c38.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.876145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under52c38.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.655048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over49c38.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b0…41bfbacked Over52c37.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over48c37.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.931752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c35.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.773,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over48c33.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1111033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under52c33.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0852552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over51c32.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.511845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Under53c30.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.339057.8%52 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under57c29.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8119166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over42c29.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c29.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.992,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c26.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.14,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under64c22.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2621259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.