NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a08bb2b484a8f4df93099659cff4a8456720c967f73985fe6ecc91141f87103

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Nuggets, Jazz
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $62,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x617b…a499backed Jazz	52c	7,000$3,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,329.98	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	48c	6,223$2,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,958.77	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Jazz	53c	5,555$2,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,610.84	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.05	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	45c	3,947$1,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,791.91	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…bcafbacked Jazz	36c	2,691$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,734.32	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	48c	2,473$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.44	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jazz	62c	2,215$1,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.18	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets	63c	1,710$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.76	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets	42c	1,592$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.87	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets	49c	1,492$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.79	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Nuggets	48c	1,429$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.75	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets	47c	1,343$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.51	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Nuggets	49c	1,008$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.01	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Jazz	54c	972.4$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.3	166	35.5%59 W · 107 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nuggets	47c	912.52$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.64	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	47c	831.38$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.75	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Jazz	66c	784.79$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.25	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Nuggets	43c	721.32$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.73	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Nuggets	65c	604.95$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.56	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Jazz	72c	523.11$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.04	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8abd…29a8backed Jazz	76c	516.6$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	75cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jazz	52c	500.83$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.21	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Nuggets	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Nuggets	46c	434.15$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Jazz	53c	416$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.52	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jazz	53c	415.89$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.13	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuggets	15c	407$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.26	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jazz	52c	404.94$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.37	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b36…56cebacked Nuggets	26c	392.17$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.55	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets	36c	382.54$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.32	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets	13c	355$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.3	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Nuggets	5c	311$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Nuggets	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Nuggets	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Jazz	42c	298.16$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.93	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Jazz	53c	291.54$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.03	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jazz	41c	288.38$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.86	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nuggets	18c	275.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Jazz	52c	262.59$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.14	54	63%34 W · 20 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Jazz	52c	259.51$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.5	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Nuggets	48c	246.82$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.47	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz	54c	243.1$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.83	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jazz	68c	242.63$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.79	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Jazz	44c	225.99$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.56	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nuggets	11c	220$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Jazz	54c	216.96$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.29	125	36%45 W · 80 L	-13.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Nuggets	16c	216.51$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.64	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets	48c	210.51$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.37	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Jazz	35c	206.73$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.67	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Jazz	49c	197.84$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.9	214	50%107 W · 107 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nuggets	56c	193.08$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.88	575	50.3%289 W · 286 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Jazz	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets	33c	182.12$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.09	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets	36c	170.31$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.31	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Jazz	64c	166.63$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.99	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Jazz	55c	165.86$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.62	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Nuggets	48c	154.86$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.33	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Jazz	54c	140.46$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.61	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Nuggets	41c	139.1$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	110	33.6%37 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed Jazz	75c	131.33$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.83	75	70.7%53 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Jazz	53c	128.35$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.32	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Jazz	38c	126.68$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.54	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Nuggets	47c	119.09$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.97	223	51.6%115 W · 108 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Jazz	48c	117.78$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.82	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets	48c	114.82$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.38	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets	47c	112.84$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.86	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Nuggets	51c	111.19$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Jazz	53c	110.02$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.71	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Jazz	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Jazz	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	232	46.1%107 W · 125 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Jazz	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Jazz	52c	99.98$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb0…e845backed Jazz	53c	99.98$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.99	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nuggets	50c	97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Jazz	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Jazz	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Jazz	53c	91.68$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Jazz	55c	90.9$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.9	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Jazz	54c	90.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.42	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Nuggets	54c	90.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	455	42.4%193 W · 262 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Nuggets	46c	89.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.68	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Nuggets	38c	86.89$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.22	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Nuggets	47c	85.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nuggets	58c	84.03$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.74	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jazz	40c	80.49$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Nuggets	51c	79.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jazz	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfef5…4e98backed Jazz	54c	72.03$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.13	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Nuggets	48c	64.91$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	361	53.5%193 W · 168 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Jazz	54c	64.83$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.82	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Jazz	53c	58.67$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.58	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Nuggets	47c	57.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.22	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Nuggets	26c	56.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz	53c	56.29$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.46	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Jazz	52c	55.36$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.57	407	50.6%206 W · 201 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ac…be97backed Nuggets	47c	53.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Jazz	53c	52.47$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…4ce4backed Nuggets	63c	50.89$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event