NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b63dc16a4eacb1105f49f9ed36a785c67bf96f5a1b9262c152f0cce8f45546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Nuggets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz | 49c | 115,207$56,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,907.77 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets | 51c | 82,656$42,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,154.37 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992a…5e34backed Jazz | 49c | 49,662$24,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,327.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 29,118$14,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,850.18 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…cf30backed Nuggets | 49c | 15,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Nuggets | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 52c | 11,850$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,127.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 10,292$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Jazz | 49c | 9,997$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.68 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz | 50c | 9,292$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.97 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 57c | 8,508$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 48c | 4,740$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,973$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.65 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Jazz | 50c | 2,231$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.5 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jazz | 48c | 2,185$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.39 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,862$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.01 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,585$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.81 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,406$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.14 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,211$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.56 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 47c | 1,129$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,012$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.78 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz | 48c | 986.97$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.22 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Nuggets | 54c | 942.28$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.62 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Nuggets | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 814.25$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.04 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 809.25$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 776.96$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.02 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Nuggets | 51c | 717.64$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Nuggets | 27c | 649.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Nuggets | 52c | 625.59$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.32 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Nuggets | 66c | 610.94$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.42 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 53c | 592.43$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 582.49$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nuggets | 58c | 563.76$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…1c2cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 551.14$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.68 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nuggets | 53c | 519.21$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…ca51backed Nuggets | 71c | 507.94$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…fb9cbacked Nuggets | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Jazz | 48c | 430.32$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 421.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.07 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Nuggets | 45c | 403.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Nuggets | 75c | 393.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Nuggets | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Jazz | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Nuggets | 52c | 378.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Jazz | 46c | 375.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Nuggets | 52c | 373.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Jazz | 54c | 361.27$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 52c | 358.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Nuggets | 52c | 343.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 26c | 329.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Nuggets | 52c | 322.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Jazz | 29c | 319.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.9 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…9722backed Nuggets | 52c | 300.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Nuggets | 52c | 291.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Nuggets | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Nuggets | 51c | 244.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Nuggets | 53c | 242.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Jazz | 37c | 234.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Nuggets | 56c | 227.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Nuggets | 52c | 224.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 48c | 223.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed Nuggets | 33c | 219.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Jazz | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nuggets | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Nuggets | 50c | 192.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nuggets | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Nuggets | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Nuggets | 52c | 189.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nuggets | 11c | 189$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Nuggets | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Nuggets | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Nuggets | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nuggets | 50c | 183.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Nuggets | 39c | 172.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Nuggets | 29c | 170.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Nuggets | 52c | 161.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Jazz | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…56cebacked Nuggets | 65c | 149.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Nuggets | 51c | 144.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Nuggets | 52c | 141.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Nuggets | 52c | 137.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Nuggets | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 129.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…3beebacked Nuggets | 52c | 125.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…b709backed Nuggets | 50c | 122.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Nuggets | 52c | 120.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nuggets | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Jazz | 60c | 118.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Nuggets | 50c | 118.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Nuggets | 52c | 117.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…ec09backed Nuggets | 52c | 116.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…63b5backed Jazz | 58c | 115.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Nuggets | 55c | 107.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nuggets | 55c | 107.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)this page
- Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. JazzNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 250.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.