TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2e1…4925

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT17057.1%97 W · 73 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 170 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.45
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$41.25
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.43
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.64
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$49.83
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.36
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$33.98
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$78.19
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$50.57
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.85
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.78
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.33
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.22
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$34.14
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$71.8
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.77
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.95
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$48.44
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$55.61
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.42
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.56
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.25
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+113%+$49.26
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$82.92
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$88.31
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$195.58
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$72.16
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$50.76
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$10.97
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$55.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.04
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.76
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.25
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$14.99
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.83
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$7.2
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.02
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.