MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8a38c7fe024bab93596cf3a4da36c59f8eae0c3395bb141c91a5c88958c686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 83,027$46,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,773.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 69,000$30,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,360 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 39,062$17,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,797.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 31,739$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 29,983$16,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,792.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 21,786$9,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,585.71 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 20,948$11,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,105.98 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 18,222$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,319.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 13,327$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.95 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 13,063$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.89 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 11,869$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.06 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 11,510$9,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 10,766$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 9,686$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.74 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 9,155$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,211.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 8,814$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.03 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 6,276$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.59 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 5,685$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.56 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,441$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 0c | 5,425$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 4,629$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 4,563$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.7 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 4,424$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 4,389$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 4,164$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.11 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,791$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.59 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 3,143$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.04 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 2,298$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…5fb9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,196$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,080$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.37 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,780$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,670$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,500$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,395$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.01 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,348$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.9 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 1,306$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,226$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 1,170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,148$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.76 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 1,137$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,065$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,018$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.37 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 988.86$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 900$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.25 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 899.98$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.24 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 703.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 631.47$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b4…c1ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 601$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…0c84backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 599.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 546.02$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.52 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 524.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 523$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.86 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 503.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 480$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 468.5$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 452.18$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 445.76$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 444.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 417.92$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 410$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 391.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 370$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 339$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 293$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 292.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 277.6$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 236.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 228.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 227.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 217.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 199.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 198$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.