WNBA · resolved market
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02fe7d2fed3d33aefa1bb1c8bbd94ad3c5f291988712b17033a9fd4af32f75b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof PortlandFire, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 140,556$68,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,533.99 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire | 52c | 110,914$57,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,439.58 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 18,324$9,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,039.39 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 45c | 12,009$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.96 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PortlandFire | 52c | 10,400$5,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked PortlandFire | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed PortlandFire | 49c | 5,473$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.8 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked PortlandFire | 51c | 5,390$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 4,828$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 4,493$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.41 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 3,721$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.47 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 3,053$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.93 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed PortlandFire | 48c | 2,570$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.6 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 2,328$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.37 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed PortlandFire | 50c | 2,159$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.21 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed PortlandFire | 53c | 2,090$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.68 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 1,730$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 1,571$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.29 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed PortlandFire | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 1,334$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 1,144$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.95 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 960.2$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.34 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 881.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed PortlandFire | 50c | 872.21$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 851.53$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.64 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed PortlandFire | 53c | 819.05$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed PortlandFire | 52c | 805.46$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 689.65$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.45 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed PortlandFire | 48c | 642.5$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 470.83$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 345.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 340.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed PortlandFire | 53c | 326.19$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed PortlandFire | 50c | 307.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…a436backed PortlandFire | 52c | 281.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 280.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 262.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 260$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed PortlandFire | 53c | 256.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed PortlandFire | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed PortlandFire | 53c | 220.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…f0a9backed PortlandFire | 53c | 217.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 209.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 203$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 202.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked PortlandFire | 29c | 193.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed PortlandFire | 53c | 192.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed PortlandFire | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked PortlandFire | 48c | 174$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 161.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed PortlandFire | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed PortlandFire | 51c | 154$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed PortlandFire | 49c | 150.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 144.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 42c | 140.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 140.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 128.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked PortlandFire | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed PortlandFire | 45c | 120.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…d56abacked PortlandFire | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 115.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed PortlandFire | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed PortlandFire | 53c | 111.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 110.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…9954backed PortlandFire | 53c | 109.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed PortlandFire | 45c | 103.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 102.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed PortlandFire | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed PortlandFire | 50c | 97.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed PortlandFire | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed PortlandFire | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked PortlandFire | 52c | 91.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 89.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 89.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 75.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed PortlandFire | 49c | 72.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 67.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…3beebacked PortlandFire | 52c | 67.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 66.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed PortlandFire | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed PortlandFire | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed PortlandFire | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed PortlandFire | 55c | 60.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 58.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirePhoenix Mercury won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 159.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 160.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 161.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 163.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 164.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.