WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x101623bd84cbc5a122e83a0ec347a9524bfd8bf7e5693d804f0a7de45ee79128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Phoenix Mercury, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $728,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 250,268$109,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,456.47 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed PortlandFire | 58c | 200,460$116,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,309.53 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 115,403$48,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,620.33 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed PortlandFire | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed PortlandFire | 54c | 70,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire | 58c | 56,229$32,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,408.51 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 20,152$12,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,765.39 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked PortlandFire | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed PortlandFire | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed PortlandFire | 61c | 14,366$8,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,763.23 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…85a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 11,880$7,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked PortlandFire | 58c | 11,162$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 10,428$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,465.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed PortlandFire | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PortlandFire | 42c | 9,616$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.33 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PortlandFire | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 8,522$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.93 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 6,216$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.81 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 60c | 6,170$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.86 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked PortlandFire | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 4,730$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 35c | 4,464$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.4 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed PortlandFire | 4c | 4,213$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 4,031$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 3,973$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.34 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed PortlandFire | 51c | 3,753$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.84 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 38c | 3,531$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.28 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PortlandFire | 37c | 3,322$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.39 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 42c | 3,272$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.65 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire | 2c | 3,050$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 2,940$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.39 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 2,772$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.28 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 2,614$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.91 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 2,226$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed PortlandFire | 58c | 2,061$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked PortlandFire | 61c | 2,017$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 50c | 1,883$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.2 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 1,856$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.19 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 1,814$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.47 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed PortlandFire | 56c | 1,754$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 1,749$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed PortlandFire | 27c | 1,707$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.97 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 1,600$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 1,588$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.09 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked PortlandFire | 34c | 1,552$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.97 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PortlandFire | 31c | 1,490$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.75 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed PortlandFire | 3c | 1,484$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 1,465$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.82 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 1,306$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.34 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 1,220$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 1,162$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 1,152$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.82 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed PortlandFire | 1c | 1,148$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 1,112$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.24 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed PortlandFire | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 999.93$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 996$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PortlandFire | 41c | 977.05$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.22 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked PortlandFire | 44c | 904.6$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed PortlandFire | 56c | 894.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 871.97$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.9 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 870.56$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.35 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed PortlandFire | 55c | 833.83$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Phoenix Mercury | 74c | 815.68$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked PortlandFire | 2c | 793.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed PortlandFire | 58c | 789.29$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.79 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed PortlandFire | 24c | 750$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 737.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.75 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 732.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed PortlandFire | 48c | 706$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.68 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed PortlandFire | 55c | 696.54$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.1 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed PortlandFire | 41c | 687.12$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.56 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 667.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.17 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…0b30backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 650$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire | 37c | 646.46$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 27c | 625.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed PortlandFire | 49c | 620.78$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 614$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 610.04$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 600.23$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.05 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 577.09$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 569.04$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 559.71$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…d690backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 545.8$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PortlandFire | 37c | 533.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 529.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…9bf7backed PortlandFire | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed PortlandFire | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 468.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed PortlandFire | 40c | 466.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire | 37c | 462.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed PortlandFire | 58c | 439.26$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked PortlandFire | 46c | 435.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2453backed PortlandFire | 34c | 434.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirethis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 159.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 160.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 161.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 163.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 164.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.