MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2454e0352e0ba902cd6f6102d71d9da8e5f21d4310961ee680248cd9688b616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 49c | 35,181$17,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,942.47 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 21,914$10,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,046.53 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 50c | 21,754$10,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,849.14 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 49c | 15,036$7,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,668.13 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 10,470$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.09 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 9,671$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.7 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 9,051$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.97 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 8,489$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.35 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 7,831$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.72 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 5,824$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.04 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 50c | 5,667$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.81 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 4,903$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.48 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 3,270$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,475$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.97 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,331$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.06 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 1,716$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.38 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 49c | 1,697$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 54c | 1,595$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.38 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 53c | 1,427$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.45 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 50c | 1,344$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.66 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 51c | 1,160$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.61 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 51c | 979.62$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.79 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 955.19$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.53 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 850.47$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.71 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 49c | 815.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 677.82$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.69 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 49c | 668.89$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.13 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 626.55$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.67 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Over | 51c | 606.94$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 50c | 573.9$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.3 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf159…6001backed Over | 51c | 552.5$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dd…ded8backed Under | 51c | 551.91$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 540.2$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.55 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 536.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…deb1backed Under | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…1c01backed Over | 50c | 465.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 58c | 445.95$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 49c | 396.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 50c | 386.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 51c | 374.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 48c | 358.35$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 41c | 353.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Over | 51c | 345.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 315.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 50c | 296.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 7c | 287.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 26c | 286.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 52c | 261.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Over | 49c | 255.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 213.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 51c | 199.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 51c | 191.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 51c | 189.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 173.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 169.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…4a98backed Over | 50c | 163.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Over | 48c | 159.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 155.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 50c | 145.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 131.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 26c | 124.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 113.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 113.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…37d9backed Under | 54c | 113.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 108.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 102.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 51c | 102.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 51c | 102.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 102.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 44c | 101.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…8924backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 96.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 428 | 49.1%210 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 51c | 91.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 52c | 89.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…3b89backed Over | 49c | 89.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Over | 50c | 85.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 85.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 85.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 82.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 50c | 80.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.