TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2567…2371

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT9552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.53
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$363
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$524.77
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$220.46
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.5
Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$36.5
Panthers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$50.55
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$119.5
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72.92
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Flyers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$72.29
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$78
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$81.19
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Red Wings vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$71.83
Lightning vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$72.42
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$104.28
Bruins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Jets vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72
Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$72.86
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$195.44
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.45
UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$56.95
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$54.71
Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+86.2%+$115.42
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.4%+$184.11
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53.53
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$158.6
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$183
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-9.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Richmond Spiders vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$57.27
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$175.82
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$110.49
Alabama State Hornets vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$168
Morehead State Eagles vs. Presbyterian Blue Hose: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$88.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100.8%+$151.18
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$150
Spread: Dolphins (-5.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$143
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$152.86
Spread: Lions (-9.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$145.6
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$284.24
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.92
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Spread: Packers (-14.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Cowboys vs. Panthers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$46.2
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.14
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.7
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.29
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$182.57
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$180.78
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$183.71
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$181.99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+39.2%+$230.44
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.24
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32.5
Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.68
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$96.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Memphis (-21.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$161
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$76.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: PEEK vs Equipe Caos (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inbacked Equipe Caos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.