NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b4d2c8f68df1592e513e381fcd646883ae635f656b544b74ab0bc26eff157a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 53c | 35,375$18,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,547.85 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 20,306$9,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,544 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 7,705$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.94 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 3,226$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.22 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 2,243$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.78 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 1,667$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.71 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 1,229$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.63 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 894.28$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.36 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 858.68$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.58 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 437.75$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Under | 54c | 437.04$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 53c | 418$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 322$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 314.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 299.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 47c | 299.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under | 53c | 189.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Under | 67c | 172.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 43c | 163.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 127.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 60c | 95.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 80.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 53c | 77.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 60.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 55.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 58c | 52.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 46c | 40.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Under | 61c | 33.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 41c | 32.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 42c | 30.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…a9c1backed Under | 69c | 28.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Over | 49c | 28.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…7606backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.