NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x521c106b3c7c3af03b66374b7f58ecd5d6c36266ad6eb7739fe4e0c6e4f5b8ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Blue Jackets, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 1,227$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.26 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators | 65c | 1,134$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.85 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 65c | 375.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 322$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Predators | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 68c | 282.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 259.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Predators | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Predators | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 176$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Predators | 66c | 173.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked Predators | 66c | 167$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 163.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 67c | 119.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 111.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Predators | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Predators | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 51.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Predators | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Blue Jackets | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Predators | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Predators | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 44.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Predators | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 38.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…9594backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 34.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 65c | 33.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Predators | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Predators | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.