TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52fc…6c84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NHL at 49 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.97
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$159.84
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$118.14
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Devils vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$35.46
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.42
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Rangers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$84.35
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$31.22
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$111.7
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$59.17
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31.45
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.47
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.13
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.25
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$78.48
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.3
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.61
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$550.53
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.42
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.34
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$60.83
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.45
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$63.81
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.21
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-14.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.3
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.42
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$22.17
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$89.76
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.63
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62.88
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$134.14
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.14
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.33
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$80
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.