TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Iowa Hawkeyesof Iowa Hawkeyes, Clemson Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12af…ff78backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c16,818$8,577 inWon+$8,240.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers49c5,738$2,810 inLost-$2,810.1612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Clemson Tigers49c4,444$2,178 inLost-$2,177.562,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clemson Tigers49c4,382$2,127 inLost-$2,126.7418744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clemson Tigers48c3,177$1,525 inLost-$1,525.22,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Clemson Tigers49c2,283$1,110 inLost-$1,109.939454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Clemson Tigers49c1,016$498 inLost-$497.732544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Clemson Tigers49c1,000$490 inLost-$49014346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clemson Tigers49c685.71$336 inLost-$3361,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c594.75$297 inWon+$297.3816253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Clemson Tigers49c499.99$245 inLost-$244.997143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c351.68$176 inWon+$175.845350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes51c334.28$170 inWon+$163.85944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Clemson Tigers49c303.44$149 inLost-$148.6927045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…3c93backed Clemson Tigers48c276.46$133 inLost-$132.71872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c255.74$130 inWon+$125.311540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clemson Tigers50c234.72$117 inLost-$117.4927755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c208.16$106 inWon+$1029151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c130.74$65 inWon+$65.373158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52fc…6c84backed Clemson Tigers49c127.59$62 inLost-$62.452339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Iowa Hawkeyes62c102.93$63 inWon+$39.481631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Clemson Tigers49c99.13$49 inLost-$48.571,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Clemson Tigers39c97.2$38 inLost-$38.3652843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes51c87.46$45 inWon+$42.864245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Clemson Tigers50c79.7$40 inLost-$39.536248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Iowa Hawkeyes53c44.53$23 inWon+$21.0714461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Clemson Tigers49c40.46$20 inLost-$19.834055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Clemson Tigers49c40.46$20 inLost-$19.831844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clemson Tigers50c40$20 inLost-$204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bd…1c8cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes52c34.55$18 inWon+$16.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clemson Tigers45c27.64$13 inLost-$12.51,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Clemson Tigers50c20.82$10 inLost-$10.412860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee9…a6c1backed Iowa Hawkeyes71c15$11 inWon+$4.35862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.