TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 128.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,062 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over53c42,594$22,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,443.344348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c23,750$10,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,003.7512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c7,500$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,97518744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec9…75c7backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2502860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6503545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over43c4,153$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.312,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c3,708$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.141,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under61c3,249$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.51875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c2,688$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.512,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under48c2,020$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.58046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over58c1,709$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.474546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.8315858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over11c1,397$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7424121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under47c1,168$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.2710443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under48c1,150$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.1618556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over58c1,026$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.8855749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Under47c1,010$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.35639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under48c993.53$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.643154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over51c989.98$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.887143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Under48c935.84$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.643554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under58c915.31$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.073,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over51c878.1$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under48c857.92$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1213343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over28c832.32$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.266636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under64c715.38$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.114,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over61c705.36$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.26650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37816147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c632.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3524847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under70c576.81$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.653372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c521.18$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.115,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Over52c508.82$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.592035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c500.92$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under43c497.84$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7737246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under48c452.2$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1513343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Under47c417.33$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.182540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under79c401.54$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.842892.9%26 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.29per pick64cpaid+46.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over26c386.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.981,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Over28c368.64$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.473517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under44c365.12$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4713141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under48c357$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.648444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under57c349.33$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0160551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Over58c341.89$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.291729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under44c315.61$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.821,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under44c301.38$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.773,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Over5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192010%2 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Over5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under47c297.4$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7539454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over52c297.07$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.433435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over69c242.3$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.191,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under44c225.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Under44c225.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.18875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under48c222$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4416341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over51c217.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0114346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…edc7backed Over52c205.36$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under47c198.26$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.084355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under49c198.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under43c181.43$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4230152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9e…13d2backed Under49c180.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…1128backed Over52c178.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dc…ef3abacked Under49c177.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc1b…1e1bbacked Under49c169.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.565100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under61c162.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.422250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under43c162.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.458652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under43c161.39$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.993177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2a8f…d0debacked Under44c157.72$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.321450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29d…ab4ebacked Over52c151.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over51c141.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.415356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over41c136.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3832246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under46c130.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2830054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b67…cd22backed Under49c124.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over30c122$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.189725.8%25 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over43c118.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6352843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x015d…fd05backed Over52c116.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Under43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.122860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c103.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0813445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5421455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…84bcbacked Under59c99.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c99.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5462451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Under47c99.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.548245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under43c96.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0214245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc723…7156backed Over52c91.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under47c88.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.766251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Over23c86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.643327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aff…da59backed Under46c84.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.714146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over52c80.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7818048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Under43c79.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.214459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under48c79.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1215850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2514461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2540849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c72.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under46c71.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4533058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Under57c69.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.762969%20 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.