TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over40c21,365$8,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,546.021822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under60c20,065$12,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,026.551,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c13,150$5,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,232.4813841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over55c12,607$6,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,93432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c7,768$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.1341842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Under62c5,006$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.951258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over39c4,300$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.1222443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Under60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under61c2,075$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.2435829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80061959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c1,930$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.4714551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Under61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under60c1,638$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over38c1,498$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.2559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Over54c1,251$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.372343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…a24abacked Under46c1,091$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa412…eb52backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1132…92d8backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over38c921$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over40c845$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3385052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7425449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over40c612.03$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over7c546.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2722250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over34c528.5$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.541,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under51c515.43$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8210367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Over40c509.16$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.667533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under60c504.2$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.683641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52fc…6c84backed Under61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.843759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16076950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c397.59$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7214254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c361.68$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2710545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over51c360.2$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under58c339.78$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.414355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under48c297.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5518452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over38c289.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9321355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over5c263.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under62c262.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9412859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under61c260$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over56c260$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3624837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under46c253.97$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2334547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+149.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Under61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under64c244.49$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under61c211.48$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under64c183$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0941050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c176.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8417248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Under60c168.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.531866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under60c165.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under45c160$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.851343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over39c142.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.159258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f9e…c96bbacked Over50c137.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under61c130.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.463161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over35c126.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6565721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Under70c120.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.274746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.84139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under60c106.26$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.663857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8047…8628backed Over53c103.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c102.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.133,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1720855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Under61c85.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4124949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Over40c84.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under72c83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.254136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under59c81.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.37642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over38c79.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under63c71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4114347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6845069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Under61c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over53c54.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.513066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under61c54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0614560.7%88 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over41c46.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over41c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2228753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5b…efbebacked Under61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9812150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…7c94backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over40c39.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.896056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over40c39.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8817456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over40c39.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.885352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Over57c38.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under61c37.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbcf6…34bcbacked Under61c37.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Under68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under60c35.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Over40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f7d…3a0cbacked Over52c34.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27580%60 W · 15 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Over55c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631047.4%147 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under61c28.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1218853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over38c28.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8914855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26a8…8a98backed Under56c26.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7628652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9947…925dbacked Under59c25.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+146.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5dd…b6bebacked Under60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Under61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.597850%39 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under60c22.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.929755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a7…8213backed Under60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under61c18.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.082564%16 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.