TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Under47c96,655$45,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,227.2213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c7…aadebacked Under50c82,504$41,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,496.523847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over53c75,729$40,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,136.581822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c26,360$13,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,085.9410545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over53c18,919$10,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,027.216538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c15,395$6,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,059.4813841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Over54c11,452$6,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,207.291947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over51c8,831$4,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,522.8833151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Over51c8,288$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,227.032343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c5,438$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.9928749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c5,400$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75441842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c5,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under44c4,913$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.199562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c4,519$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.2811952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under27c2,555$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.021,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Over76c2,549$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.771546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over54c2,241$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.112152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…9654backed Over51c2,222$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.2250%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over75c2,215$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.6414254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under73c2,045$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c2,012$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.8738147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over53c1,900$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0075435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c1,737$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.691,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over73c1,728$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.5226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Over51c1,691$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under26c1,617$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.91,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Over33c1,505$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.932450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over34c1,488$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c1,459$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.771,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over50c1,437$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.579751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e93…439cbacked Over50c1,320$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Over50c1,316$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,167$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c1,151$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.5414551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over64c1,101$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.323,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over49c1,071$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Under50c1,041$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over50c1,036$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5185052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over50c1,006$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.972365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3499…60b5backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…0d18backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Under25c898.6$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.081442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over43c843.34$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9110438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under50c776.18$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0927044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f38…5e08backed Over53c741.38$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under47c591.21$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3410846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under47c576.09$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.923066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over50c525.58$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.796847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under42c482.51$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.747642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over13c475.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.081947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8133…3109backed Over52c469.31$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Over51c450.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c430.8$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4617248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over10c418.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4222250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a1…e6d5backed Over51c407.65$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over39c361.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.941,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Under50c350.66$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.292045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under49c322$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.224628.3%13 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under50c315.58$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Under50c278$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d1…8d0ebacked Under48c270.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Under58c256.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.651258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under47c215$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6607…5bd9backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under35c191$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1341050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under25c178.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.74139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5b…4c7bbacked Under30c169.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+116.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…e8d1backed Under60c164.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.32138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c155$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.59258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under49c151.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.423857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed Over52c139.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Over54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a0c…10e6backed Under49c138.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over51c137$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8721549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over47c136.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9821355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Under50c125$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.754562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Under48c121.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.311866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.