NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd66c9373177244bcb8461d949d1292ea978b6a38f79e7252f4ef97b50031d948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 11c | 12,033$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.21 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f38…5e08backed Under | 71c | 773.37$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 30c | 761.11$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 28c | 580.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 76c | 497$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 77c | 284$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 68c | 205.93$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 75c | 204.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 65c | 130.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Over | 11c | 117.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c1…dabbbacked Over | 32c | 85.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 70c | 62.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 43.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 32c | 43.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 77c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. CanadiensHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.