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NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over75c8,273$6,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,179.8311952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under25c7,253$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.471947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over76c5,781$4,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,417.569948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over39c3,383$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.9810545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under64c2,809$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.512152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Over54c1,587$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.292450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under27c1,471$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.7227044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over76c892.71$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.13873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over76c661.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Under76c643.21$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.828846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c596.44$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c565.5$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under48c542.46$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0814151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under25c511$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under25c420$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3153641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over79c369.09$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1814549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over67c350$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.131,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over32c307.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7922250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under35c251$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.237642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over62c244.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6812859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over38c223.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1745069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.62050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under25c181.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.073857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under24c181.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.949258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over37c175.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2910438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under41c169$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.374047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under38c160.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7713841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over27c155$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.191,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under25c140.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8520855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under57c139.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7921355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under11c135$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.158648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…7c94backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under38c131.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.433231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over62c125.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.353,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34c…887ebacked Under26c114.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under23c112.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5514653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcd…c0f2backed Under40c111.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.871323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under47c108.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9235…3fbdbacked Over74c108.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Under37c95.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.484746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over50c88.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8928753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under44c83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6934547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under25c81.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.424139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under47c80.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.375352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over62c79.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.431181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under73c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under66c66.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4433363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under61c62.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.726056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd597…a96cbacked Over76c59.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-62.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c59…0c2cbacked Under78c57.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a71…618cbacked Over75c56.79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under25c55.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.461241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under25c54.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.833831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402277.3%17 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Over44c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.444447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under46c43.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Under61c41.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over74c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.588053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7751343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over43c39.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1738447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a4…0ea6backed Over75c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under58c33.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2914347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdf…ec62backed Over44c33.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over66c33.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0214855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…e71dbacked Over38c32.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over59c30.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9818853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over60c29.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9818452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5419…cfc0backed Over43c25.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Over75c22.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Over75c21.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under60c20.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1324837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over62c16.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0760449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf37…e241backed Over75c16.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7132…f7f0backed Over75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128351.8%43 W · 40 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.999755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fd…c2d4backed Over75c15.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd95e…3892backed Over75c13.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc504…4a10backed Over75c13.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…a3ebbacked Over75c13.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca7…0f98backed Over75c13.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.