TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,261,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,402,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,261,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,098 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes59c630,492$371,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258,501.8920354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Canadiens41c499,998$204,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,999.3516442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Canadiens42c400,170$166,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,071.291822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Hurricanes59c155,695$91,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,108.7610545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Hurricanes59c130,300$76,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,4232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hurricanes58c129,999$75,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,599.556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Canadiens41c100,000$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,999.854358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc336…02abbacked Canadiens6c94,974$5,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,698.42560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Canadiens41c53,830$22,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,070.182343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Hurricanes58c50,000$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.982445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Canadiens41c50,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,499.961060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Canadiens42c48,137$20,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,217.544323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Hurricanes59c44,788$26,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,363.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Canadiens9c43,205$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.31816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Hurricanes58c39,999$23,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.744949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Hurricanes59c38,463$22,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,769.913253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Canadiens41c35,000$14,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,349.9232151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens12c32,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8701,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens11c29,113$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.5958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Hurricanes59c25,000$14,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2504551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Hurricanes58c24,459$14,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,373.031947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Canadiens42c23,810$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.23262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens42c23,114$9,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,823.532236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Canadiens7c21,663$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.724837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Canadiens41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.955841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Canadiens42c18,257$7,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,672.5728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Canadiens42c17,711$7,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,438.538345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens42c17,109$7,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,133.5533151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hurricanes59c16,949$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,949.1518452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f6…237cbacked Canadiens6c15,409$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.891,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Hurricanes59c14,500$8,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9451450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Hurricanes66c13,000$8,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4103164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Canadiens42c13,000$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,460540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Hurricanes58c12,500$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2501729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Hurricanes59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,920875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1869…fe78backed Canadiens6c11,548$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Canadiens42c11,000$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6203450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Hurricanes59c10,373$6,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,234.7827044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes58c10,026$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.2110743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Canadiens41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1004949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Hurricanes58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2005552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Canadiens42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Hurricanes59c9,782$5,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,010.563174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Hurricanes60c8,833$5,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.11875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Canadiens0c8,310$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Canadiens36c8,012$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9153551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Canadiens42c7,332$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.445147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Hurricanes59c7,300$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9934555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4d…20ccbacked Canadiens42c7,260$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ec…64c8backed Hurricanes59c5,739$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Canadiens41c5,583$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.2911952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Canadiens41c5,545$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.4318641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Hurricanes59c5,510$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Hurricanes58c5,300$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2261258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hurricanes59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7518853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Hurricanes59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1975…f07bbacked Canadiens41c4,778$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens41c4,500$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8451,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa39…ceb7backed Canadiens42c4,195$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hurricanes58c4,014$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.391945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed Canadiens41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens32c3,918$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9103…0fa3backed Canadiens3c3,885$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Hurricanes58c3,624$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.063531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37af…4b38backed Canadiens39c3,604$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes59c3,470$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.6861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens2c3,382$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a9…6abbbacked Canadiens42c3,365$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Canadiens6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008445.2%38 W · 46 L+14.8wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x122c…30ddbacked Canadiens12c3,310$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hurricanes58c3,250$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.0441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Canadiens43c3,186$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3706147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Canadiens44c3,166$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Canadiens42c3,149$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.032433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Canadiens41c3,116$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.651442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Canadiens41c3,030$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.31643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Canadiens41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2302842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Hurricanes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2609751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hurricanes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Canadiens41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2306841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hurricanes59c2,967$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.3637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed Canadiens42c2,965$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Canadiens42c2,955$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.13333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes57c2,943$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.4567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes58c2,912$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.1943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Canadiens12c2,800$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3225337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens0c2,750$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a59…184ebacked Canadiens1c2,637$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f05…43e7backed Canadiens10c2,621$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…9654backed Canadiens42c2,555$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Canadiens16c2,521$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.861225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Canadiens41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0251457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Canadiens41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0255954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Canadiens8c2,393$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Hurricanes59c2,373$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.883132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Hurricanes59c2,354$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.0511648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Hurricanes57c2,300$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.9614940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.