TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f05…43e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$80.71
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.01
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+376.2%+$188.1
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+48.6%+$79.35
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+614.3%+$150.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+87.4%+$88.6
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36.56
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$43.66
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+202.5%+$107.1
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$220
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$254.55
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$136.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$117.33
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$268.04
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+80.9%+$20.21
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+110.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.7%+$106.8
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$123
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$274.85
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$109.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$208.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$243.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.