Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575cb12754ee7f634efe13f5f85d784438f606eb063d00634db4d2a1c88e213c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 8c | 117,965$8,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,985.61 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 48,353$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed No | 71c | 39,998$28,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…b1afbacked Yes | 19c | 25,522$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…9466backed Yes | 1c | 24,622$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked No | 78c | 20,665$16,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.35 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 19c | 16,920$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.74 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 15,234$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 75c | 14,064$10,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.44 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 13,329$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,204$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129a…c44abacked Yes | 0c | 10,849$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…19d8backed Yes | 40c | 10,340$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…4272backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 19c | 9,720$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 80c | 9,246$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.91 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 42c | 8,478$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.35 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 0c | 8,313$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1b53backed Yes | 1c | 7,272$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed Yes | 29c | 7,016$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 77c | 6,720$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.53 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…3e2fbacked Yes | 19c | 6,304$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bd…a4b6backed Yes | 1c | 5,287$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…a72abacked Yes | 29c | 5,279$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…1fc3backed Yes | 7c | 4,706$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc577…1f0bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,524$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 5c | 4,074$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c46…df47backed Yes | 1c | 3,868$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Yes | 12c | 3,586$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…43e7backed Yes | 11c | 3,073$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…8d73backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 71c | 2,160$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.1 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…3ad5backed Yes | 24c | 1,991$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…bf86backed No | 72c | 1,880$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…00b6backed Yes | 18c | 1,640$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 75c | 1,395$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…722fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,357$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 5c | 1,255$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +541.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…3f85backed Yes | 1c | 1,205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 16c | 1,128$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 70c | 1,051$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.26 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +83%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…c4f5backed Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 78c | 999$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…f749backed Yes | 2c | 980$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 24c | 965.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 36c | 928.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.16 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bce…59a2backed Yes | 21c | 829$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…f0b2backed Yes | 12c | 822.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 45c | 636.19$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…71cabacked Yes | 20c | 611.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 72c | 597.99$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…ee19backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…76afbacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…00debacked Yes | 34c | 490.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 60c | 477.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.91 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 2c | 475.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…a96ebacked Yes | 72c | 418.06$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d2…efdabacked Yes | 26c | 417.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…07f2backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…7f89backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +515.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked No | 40c | 359.5$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…52b9backed Yes | 11c | 346.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 78c | 344.28$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…4450backed Yes | 10c | 329.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…451dbacked Yes | 61c | 327.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…df62backed Yes | 25c | 311.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…5b77backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…d45dbacked Yes | 25c | 238.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…8a06backed Yes | 7c | 238$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…e00abacked Yes | 21c | 229.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 30c | 222$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…c986backed Yes | 27c | 208.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…ab01backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…35adbacked Yes | 69c | 191.03$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…205abacked Yes | 10c | 163.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed No | 31c | 161.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c974backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…ea69backed Yes | 28c | 146.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…1191backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes | 63c | 136.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed No | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…a9aabacked No | 74c | 135.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…c1dcbacked No | 72c | 132$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked Yes | 22c | 112.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.