Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17a32f284b72fe7acd4b8eaeceb57957bb1d1fdc98308e7a75f5b3235fb37fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 35c | 48,888$17,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,543.01 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 17c | 46,831$8,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,739.87 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed No | 43c | 31,751$13,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,624.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 34c | 28,664$9,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,017.4 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 70c | 25,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.61 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed No | 77c | 18,019$13,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,868.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed No | 50c | 13,309$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…cc9ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked Yes | 30c | 8,979$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 51c | 8,816$4,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.01 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 66c | 8,062$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 19c | 7,793$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,313.59 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 23c | 7,322$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.52 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 44c | 6,573$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.13 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 60c | 4,968$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…42a0backed Yes | 9c | 4,444$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,990$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.49 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…76afbacked Yes | 33c | 3,249$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…fb90backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…52c2backed Yes | 13c | 1,884$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.74 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,579$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +83%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…5ca3backed Yes | 23c | 1,200$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 42c | 1,025$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 46c | 1,012$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0b79backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 11c | 927.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.69 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…5579backed Yes | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…de7fbacked Yes | 65c | 815.12$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 65c | 765.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…7922backed Yes | 11c | 765$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.2 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…742fbacked Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 38c | 690.38$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.69 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 23c | 655.83$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.83 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…d072backed Yes | 43c | 650.93$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…0f89backed No | 77c | 646.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 44c | 537.88$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…aa78backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…2363backed Yes | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…ea69backed Yes | 18c | 486.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 69c | 320$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked Yes | 63c | 317.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…bac0backed Yes | 11c | 309.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Yes | 35c | 292.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 60c | 291.64$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 53c | 268$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Yes | 11c | 223.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 45c | 222.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…c1dcbacked No | 72c | 211.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +538.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 7c | 171$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08bc…068fbacked No | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…64ddbacked No | 68c | 150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 13c | 141.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…9103backed Yes | 56c | 140.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…7f89backed No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +515.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 60c | 134.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…cf72backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…dde0backed Yes | 56c | 118.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…d077backed Yes | 20c | 112.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…e33bbacked Yes | 37c | 110.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…c2d7backed Yes | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…cef8backed Yes | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 100.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 18cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3496backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…6ccebacked No | 68c | 95.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0216…05b6backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…3463backed Yes | 12c | 86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e39dbacked No | 63c | 83.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…ba80backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39d…cf30backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22e…8eb7backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…adbbbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…d5c0backed Yes | 18c | 65.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…2364backed Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…b508backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 39c | 51.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…c4e0backed Yes | 57c | 45.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…9bc8backed Yes | 57c | 43.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.