Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6281adde112f9d9f60fc87da0ec19f4bf841ea90452fc4ef828cf8aa51f3503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $545,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 63c | 82,526$51,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,729.67 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed No | 48c | 30,676$14,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,826.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 47c | 15,524$7,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,190.73 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 59c | 11,281$6,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.79 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 10,972$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.89 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 32c | 9,970$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 34c | 9,780$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.87 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 57c | 8,081$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.22 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…76afbacked No | 24c | 7,482$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…1c7abacked Yes | 71c | 5,613$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 42c | 5,010$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.05 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 62c | 4,897$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 21c | 3,359$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.45 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,915$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed Yes | 33c | 2,830$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +538.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 20c | 2,525$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1a…c3b0backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 7c | 1,999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 62c | 1,965$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.88 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…742fbacked No | 49c | 1,880$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,553$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.52 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed No | 70c | 1,502$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 29c | 1,500$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.72 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde14…72dabacked No | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed No | 70c | 1,257$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed No | 63c | 1,200$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked No | 58c | 1,084$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 26c | 768.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cc…cdcebacked No | 14c | 711.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…da44backed Yes | 27c | 688.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…eaaebacked No | 40c | 652.05$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.92 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…c986backed Yes | 27c | 648$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed No | 78c | 630$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…5ca3backed Yes | 41c | 614.31$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed No | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e1…8cd2backed Yes | 47c | 550$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…84a4backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…b240backed No | 77c | 370.2$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…48a4backed No | 74c | 314.27$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes | 17c | 298$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 61c | 264.02$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 258.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 48c | 245.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 45c | 244.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed No | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 32c | 210$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…a882backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…c701backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…5743backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…c5bcbacked No | 35c | 184.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…c1dcbacked No | 72c | 183.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Yes | 27c | 174.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…ee0abacked Yes | 61c | 161.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4f28backed No | 20c | 158.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…64ddbacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f1…b361backed Yes | 69c | 145.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…3d79backed Yes | 69c | 145.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…eb39backed Yes | 69c | 145.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0ed2backed Yes | 69c | 145.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…a01ebacked Yes | 69c | 145.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…6c8ebacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed No | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…eb32backed Yes | 72c | 139.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…8603backed Yes | 72c | 139.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…d1d5backed Yes | 72c | 139.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…8e0cbacked Yes | 72c | 138.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a63…164abacked Yes | 72c | 138.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…6966backed Yes | 72c | 138.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…07f2backed No | 13c | 131.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…ea69backed No | 57c | 129.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b3…d2aabacked Yes | 73c | 129.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 128.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed No | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…e10dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 18cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…d077backed Yes | 41c | 98.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 20c | 95.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…bef9backed Yes | 18c | 94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed No | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 17-23?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.