TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde14…72da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.56
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$90
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$243.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$158.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$107.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$309.04
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+289.8%+$339.07
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$578.13
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$398.17
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$120.31
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.4
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$164.05
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+232.3%+$1,500.58
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.56
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.43
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+85.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+429.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+958.6%+$1,418.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,350.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,309.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.