Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee0d9074a1f8766b4f66d806608a4097d027c94f85de367410fbbb166a29424
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,508,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,103,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,508,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,654 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 80c | 500,000$400,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed No | 20c | 497,884$99,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,576.78 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 20c | 421,516$83,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,295.67 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 328,585$48,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,903.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 20c | 240,050$47,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,063.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 80c | 220,790$176,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,629.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Yes | 77c | 181,326$140,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,326.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa407…ca38backed Yes | 80c | 155,980$124,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,196.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 78c | 140,579$109,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,702.98 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 19c | 136,624$26,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,515.58 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 27c | 132,995$35,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,745.42 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 17c | 129,899$21,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,639.66 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 20c | 121,716$24,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,343.18 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 18c | 90,418$16,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,269.25 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 19c | 83,513$16,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,193.37 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 22c | 78,588$16,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,919.92 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 21c | 72,862$15,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,437.61 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 20c | 64,907$12,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,981.4 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 16c | 61,080$9,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,818.55 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 19c | 59,998$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.61 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes | 76c | 57,000$43,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,452.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 18c | 55,880$10,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,058.46 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 7c | 53,778$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.89 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked No | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…76f1backed Yes | 80c | 39,972$31,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,994.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 16c | 39,786$6,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,336.13 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 39,027$7,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,326.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 13c | 36,215$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.91 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 16c | 35,257$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.31 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 15c | 34,847$5,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.73 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 17c | 34,635$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.31 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 18c | 34,513$6,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212.34 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed No | 16c | 33,968$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.54 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 16c | 31,030$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.68 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…616cbacked No | 21c | 30,952$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 80c | 30,750$24,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.97 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 28c | 29,438$8,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,242.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 76c | 27,472$20,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,593.28 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 19c | 25,462$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,764.69 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…5586backed No | 18c | 25,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Yes | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes | 73c | 22,807$16,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,157.87 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 78c | 22,478$17,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.3 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Yes | 71c | 20,631$14,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.76 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 74c | 20,359$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.44 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 2c | 20,204$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.08 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 19c | 20,139$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.84 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 19,557$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.2 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 78c | 19,219$14,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.7 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 23c | 18,967$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.95 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 19c | 18,518$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.57 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked No | 18c | 17,917$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.17 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed No | 29c | 17,496$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,051.65 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 7c | 17,152$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.76 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed No | 19c | 17,000$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 17c | 15,999$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.88 | 188 | 43.6%82 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked No | 14c | 15,278$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.92 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…dcc2backed Yes | 71c | 14,136$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.59 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.82 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 80c | 13,593$10,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.66 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 32c | 12,960$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.22 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…fb48backed No | 20c | 12,505$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed No | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes | 79c | 12,500$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 18c | 12,097$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.46 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked No | 3c | 11,999$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.86 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 32c | 11,954$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.36 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked No | 21c | 11,458$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…a551backed Yes | 73c | 11,262$8,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +146.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 18c | 11,241$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.87 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 20c | 11,110$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.99 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked No | 14c | 11,091$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 18c | 10,012$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.09 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed No | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed No | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.95 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.93 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 80c | 9,955$7,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.95 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed Yes | 80c | 9,490$7,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…fb09backed No | 8c | 9,181$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.5 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…2410backed Yes | 78c | 8,793$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.65 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 11c | 8,200$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.35 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 17c | 8,184$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.12 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…12d8backed Yes | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 80c | 7,890$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.63 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 20c | 7,709$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.74 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 7,637$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.7 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed No | 21c | 7,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 7,105$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.85 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked No | 17c | 7,000$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.78 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 1c | 6,957$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 73c | 6,803$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.03 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 18c | 6,320$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.56 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Yes | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…c1b5backed Yes | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?this page
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?No won
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.