Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1efac87d70a9556b222624def73e3d7adc7b4513c781867c6c7aa105ff1d9b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,136,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,262,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,136,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,878 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 48c | 362,501$174,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,870.12 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 63c | 342,961$214,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,395.11 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 12c | 341,860$41,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,872.87 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed No | 28c | 282,779$78,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,604.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 2c | 241,684$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.81 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 7c | 205,710$13,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,605.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 7c | 196,566$13,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,319.45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 143,152$28,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,792.72 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 51c | 129,463$66,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,439 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…e3a4backed Yes | 13c | 103,629$13,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,424 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 28c | 95,827$26,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,486.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…08bcbacked Yes | 12c | 86,664$9,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,986 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…83a2backed Yes | 5c | 85,752$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed No | 26c | 76,636$19,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,716.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed No | 70c | 65,350$45,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,867.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe553…c31cbacked Yes | 29c | 59,602$16,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,989.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c37backed Yes | 11c | 50,865$5,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 32c | 49,452$16,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,003.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 53c | 47,449$25,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,020.32 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…134abacked Yes | 7c | 44,940$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…2de9backed Yes | 10c | 43,928$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 8c | 43,600$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 14c | 37,042$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.04 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…6929backed Yes | 34c | 35,435$12,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,028.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…e85cbacked Yes | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,949.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…1c7abacked Yes | 34c | 34,585$11,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,751.12 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…b26bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,629$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed No | 78c | 32,725$25,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,232.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…0700backed Yes | 27c | 30,893$8,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,298.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 7c | 28,590$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.64 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 0c | 28,280$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 7c | 25,325$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,555.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,331.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 73c | 25,249$18,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,925.41 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 23,687$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.24 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 46c | 23,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked No | 72c | 22,575$16,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,224.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed No | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,800 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +360.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 62c | 19,353$12,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326.08 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 4c | 19,108$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.51 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…70c1backed Yes | 20c | 18,604$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 37c | 17,304$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,458.79 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…25c3backed No | 25c | 15,600$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,717.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +301.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Yes | 29c | 15,149$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 12c | 14,509$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…99c5backed Yes | 71c | 13,872$9,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,845.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 13c | 13,855$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,072.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 8c | 13,815$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.08 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0213…82f6backed Yes | 33c | 13,809$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 37c | 13,448$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 35c | 12,512$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.64 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 26c | 12,279$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…1e72backed Yes | 65c | 11,810$7,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,634.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…0bedbacked Yes | 23c | 11,809$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 70c | 11,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603c…ac70backed Yes | 29c | 10,734$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes | 2c | 10,575$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…ea79backed Yes | 30c | 10,543$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 3c | 10,529$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb63…a38ebacked No | 79c | 10,500$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 14c | 10,498$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.97 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…b8acbacked Yes | 21c | 10,361$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked No | 43c | 10,076$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 62c | 10,021$6,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,195.67 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 41c | 9,999$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 9,963$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.38 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…0920backed Yes | 14c | 9,792$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed Yes | 9c | 9,297$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…78d5backed Yes | 29c | 9,100$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…be9ebacked Yes | 34c | 9,033$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 69c | 8,909$6,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.07 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…e7b6backed Yes | 2c | 8,522$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…2619backed Yes | 69c | 8,518$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,907.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026f…04ddbacked Yes | 1c | 8,292$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…804ebacked Yes | 75c | 8,287$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,179.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…18d2backed No | 74c | 8,176$6,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed Yes | 1c | 8,032$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 28c | 7,828$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.79 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,800$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ae…d5aabacked Yes | 23c | 7,762$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…2746backed Yes | 19c | 7,728$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 45c | 7,618$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.95 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…4585backed Yes | 10c | 7,391$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed No | 67c | 7,095$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.01 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked No | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed No | 34c | 6,912$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…6d74backed Yes | 6c | 6,903$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 68c | 6,500$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…a25ebacked Yes | 25c | 6,457$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed No | 53c | 6,395$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…b090backed Yes | 31c | 6,209$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 23c | 6,114$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Yes | 61c | 6,098$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed Yes | 76c | 6,020$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 25c | 6,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…72b6backed Yes | 15c | 5,982$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…abd8backed No | 71c | 5,898$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.