Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb0c98ef42c5c48b5ecca31e555aa0565a31958261e2d6c7b4cb15bbd417cbba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,161,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,153,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,161,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 864 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 54c | 109,361$59,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,105.12 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 73c | 103,529$75,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,459.54 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 56c | 69,612$39,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,268.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 27c | 65,170$17,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,825.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked No | 35c | 57,013$19,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,733.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 59c | 56,503$33,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,580.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked No | 66c | 53,616$35,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,532.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…797fbacked Yes | 54c | 49,225$26,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,663.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…6b54backed No | 24c | 46,912$11,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,267.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…1795backed Yes | 33c | 34,862$11,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,325.66 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 75c | 33,237$25,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,033.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 42c | 27,587$11,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,104.49 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 50c | 25,503$12,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,791.78 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 34c | 25,178$8,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,502.24 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 67c | 22,473$15,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.53 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked No | 26c | 18,927$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 33c | 18,713$6,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,146.29 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 20c | 17,767$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 68c | 16,493$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked No | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…8e32backed No | 78c | 16,000$12,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,429.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 57c | 15,649$8,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880.65 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 3c | 15,572$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.06 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…0835backed No | 2c | 15,441$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 46c | 14,965$6,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,834.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed Yes | 33c | 14,954$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,954.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 32c | 14,564$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,943.75 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 32c | 13,635$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…64a7backed Yes | 30c | 13,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,162.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 49c | 12,176$6,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160.17 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 35c | 11,458$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,458.21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 44c | 11,167$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 57c | 11,059$6,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,309.66 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked No | 61c | 11,000$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,744.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e53fbacked No | 12c | 10,561$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…0c17backed Yes | 18c | 10,500$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,622.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 62c | 10,346$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 63c | 10,083$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…9585backed No | 33c | 9,897$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 53c | 9,776$5,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.36 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 62c | 9,500$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.13 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed Yes | 11c | 9,090$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…492dbacked No | 20c | 8,565$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 59c | 8,511$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…8abfbacked No | 69c | 8,333$5,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,746.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5041…9b61backed Yes | 37c | 8,175$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed No | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…6ea6backed No | 37c | 8,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed No | 26c | 7,861$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…3cf4backed Yes | 20c | 7,679$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6812…6646backed Yes | 39c | 7,200$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +256.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed No | 46c | 7,129$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…30edbacked Yes | 14c | 6,702$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +236.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…4612backed Yes | 21c | 6,255$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed Yes | 25c | 6,209$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked Yes | 57c | 6,075$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.07 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…8ef2backed Yes | 44c | 6,007$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked No | 69c | 6,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 48c | 5,825$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.01 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…df82backed No | 23c | 5,600$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 53c | 5,500$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.14 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…534dbacked No | 76c | 5,467$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 28c | 5,436$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 71c | 5,279$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…a2d5backed No | 21c | 5,000$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked No | 20c | 5,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…9093backed No | 22c | 4,897$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…b056backed Yes | 22c | 4,573$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…8835backed Yes | 44c | 4,549$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 39cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…767bbacked Yes | 34c | 4,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…eb33backed No | 46c | 4,333$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 61c | 4,258$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.39 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 18c | 4,200$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc3…ec3cbacked Yes | 28c | 4,126$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 30c | 4,071$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.15 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…1a5bbacked No | 75c | 3,929$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 40c | 3,885$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.35 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked No | 36c | 3,800$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked No | 39c | 3,696$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…8c46backed No | 69c | 3,620$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed No | 45c | 3,600$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed No | 68c | 3,494$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b41…82b7backed No | 78c | 3,375$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 54c | 3,248$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.21 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…3eb0backed No | 33c | 3,200$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed No | 58c | 3,149$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe68…ae42backed Yes | 33c | 3,010$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…c665backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,872$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.6 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 62c | 2,855$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.9 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked No | 45c | 2,801$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 28c | 2,750$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.97 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…e890backed Yes | 37c | 2,722$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.