Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211805aa03ebc98fb636018cb6f8a10bed58892dc9e626da5a6976f0efdbbeaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $634,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $653,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5242…7aa6backed No | 0c | 228,460$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…67d3backed No | 0c | 131,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 77c | 70,488$53,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,539.62 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 20c | 54,314$10,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,836.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94a…fbe8backed No | 24c | 36,638$8,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,678.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 77c | 24,665$18,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,756.01 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 17c | 24,261$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 76c | 17,222$13,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.8 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e53fbacked No | 2c | 11,200$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…420cbacked No | 37c | 9,264$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…c4f5backed Yes | 79c | 7,496$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…d6b9backed No | 12c | 6,804$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.78 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 17c | 5,425$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.08 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 80c | 4,518$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.28 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…e890backed Yes | 67c | 4,477$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 78c | 4,411$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.32 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…98f5backed No | 20c | 3,345$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…0bb0backed No | 36c | 2,499$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed No | 32c | 1,963$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 27c | 1,953$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.58 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…767bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,616$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…7a49backed Yes | 77c | 1,473$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 1,395$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 1,355$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa86…2e0dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f09ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 20c | 871.12$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…6055backed Yes | 75c | 779.88$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 71c | 765.42$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.83 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Yes | 80c | 754.14$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 74c | 704.89$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed No | 22c | 699.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…640cbacked No | 15c | 651$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…ed5fbacked Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c7…bef9backed Yes | 66c | 614.37$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…ea55backed No | 26c | 552$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…4735backed Yes | 69c | 465.74$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 65c | 462$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…4a04backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…b365backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…218ebacked Yes | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 70c | 297.63$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 75c | 292.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 67c | 278.71$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…fbebbacked No | 18c | 273.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…7244backed No | 21c | 242.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked No | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559c…8bedbacked No | 18c | 199.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…418ebacked No | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa148…909fbacked No | 31c | 162.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…46eebacked No | 19c | 161.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4600…78aabacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…65a6backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…1855backed No | 24c | 126.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…6dd4backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…0412backed No | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…63aebacked No | 24c | 110.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 104.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…5f00backed Yes | 74c | 92.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 80c | 81.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 66c | 80.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…1211backed No | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…72e0backed No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…faa8backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…5ed7backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…69b6backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 72c | 33.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…a7b4backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…12a5backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0907…06d1backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…82b1backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…af2cbacked Yes | 78c | 27.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…5f50backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5f…c23ebacked Yes | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f94…b760backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…fa2cbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e9…ed9cbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4b…3847backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.