Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2887e913cd6e091c9b07b5e4013b24f372453efa6f11a0b0c5f65371729cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,275,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,827,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,275,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 922 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 2,014,207$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.72 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…0412backed Yes | 0c | 788,756$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 742,312$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.31 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 724,315$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.02 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 13c | 368,953$48,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,778.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…2211backed Yes | 15c | 271,561$39,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,934.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…98d0backed Yes | 0c | 180,281$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 150,870$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.87 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 136,671$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.09 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 1c | 127,899$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Yes | 17c | 116,655$20,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,033.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Yes | 5c | 107,302$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…3e38backed Yes | 7c | 106,500$7,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,090.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 100,847$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 0c | 100,747$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.37 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 2c | 100,003$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…1d78backed Yes | 14c | 94,387$13,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,670 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f0…d76cbacked Yes | 14c | 81,998$11,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,071.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 15c | 81,421$12,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,361.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5083backed Yes | 3c | 79,289$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3604…4e5ebacked Yes | 0c | 79,000$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…a905backed Yes | 6c | 66,774$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…45adbacked Yes | 25c | 62,018$15,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,504.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…9755backed Yes | 15c | 60,954$9,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,429.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 16c | 52,631$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 75c | 52,586$39,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,146.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 4c | 50,998$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.01 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…a653backed Yes | 15c | 48,042$7,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,377.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 47,018$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 3c | 46,212$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.87 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 13c | 45,702$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.87 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 3c | 45,133$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…33fdbacked Yes | 2c | 43,902$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 13c | 40,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…b315backed Yes | 8c | 38,969$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 10c | 38,249$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…ec12backed Yes | 2c | 37,993$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 5c | 36,858$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…3e0cbacked Yes | 12c | 36,023$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes | 4c | 35,745$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 34,301$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Yes | 0c | 34,139$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…625bbacked Yes | 20c | 30,690$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 30,252$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 30,248$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 75c | 29,468$22,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,406.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…14e6backed Yes | 7c | 28,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 77c | 28,556$22,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,464.88 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 7c | 27,143$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…4290backed Yes | 24c | 25,693$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb292…22e0backed Yes | 5c | 25,179$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7343…f3a7backed Yes | 9c | 22,222$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…d787backed Yes | 3c | 21,977$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.35 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 77c | 21,600$16,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,913.32 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 17c | 21,554$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 2c | 21,439$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.39 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…9238backed Yes | 19c | 20,790$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…bd2cbacked Yes | 15c | 20,668$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 14c | 20,500$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,370$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…d0c5backed No | 74c | 20,143$14,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…32d9backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed No | 78c | 19,837$15,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…3834backed Yes | 8c | 18,891$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…0978backed Yes | 11c | 18,718$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 18,571$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 8c | 18,519$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 7c | 18,216$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.3 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2f…a84dbacked Yes | 13c | 18,096$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed Yes | 2c | 17,367$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…3cfbbacked Yes | 4c | 17,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa077…5715backed Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed Yes | 0c | 16,330$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 8c | 16,248$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.21 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed No | 80c | 16,145$12,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 16,010$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.44 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…ede7backed Yes | 0c | 15,425$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05b…da41backed Yes | 3c | 15,328$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 3c | 14,703$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.85 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…0c33backed Yes | 7c | 14,300$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…2678backed Yes | 7c | 14,143$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…fd68backed Yes | 9c | 14,054$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b9…dd6fbacked Yes | 6c | 13,642$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…3b11backed Yes | 8c | 13,252$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes | 10c | 12,955$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.47 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 6c | 12,400$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.4 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…a472backed Yes | 0c | 12,300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…5309backed Yes | 0c | 12,161$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…731cbacked Yes | 4c | 12,150$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 75c | 12,127$9,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 12,033$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed Yes | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…3775backed Yes | 1c | 11,917$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddff…baf6backed Yes | 0c | 11,700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3917…7adbbacked Yes | 15c | 11,696$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…09c7backed Yes | 1c | 11,625$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 19c | 11,354$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 8c | 11,259$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.49 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 18c | 11,000$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.