Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b035e9f1e7c5df6e7ead5828ee46fccf878ffc030d2c7debe75149753fe079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $775,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $775,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked No | 3c | 131,823$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…bd9dbacked No | 14c | 36,632$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +113%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 22c | 35,708$7,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,816.42 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No | 18c | 28,487$4,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,988.78 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 22c | 28,088$6,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,278.41 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 4c | 23,901$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.28 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed No | 26c | 17,338$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d338backed Yes | 77c | 17,008$13,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…1da9backed Yes | 80c | 15,400$12,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed No | 32c | 15,010$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…101ebacked No | 27c | 14,730$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 26c | 12,958$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.8 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 9c | 9,149$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.17 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 19c | 8,403$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 7,431$5,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.01 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 75c | 7,280$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.87 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked No | 27c | 7,277$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 13c | 7,045$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 68c | 6,895$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked No | 30c | 6,687$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 66c | 6,677$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed Yes | 79c | 5,964$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.18 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 20c | 5,565$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.83 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…3570backed Yes | 69c | 5,138$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…4671backed No | 18c | 5,110$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 21c | 4,908$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.68 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d8…bad0backed No | 1c | 4,649$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 63c | 4,297$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.34 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…1c5abacked No | 11c | 3,958$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…33febacked Yes | 73c | 3,479$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 27c | 3,344$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 15c | 3,310$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 12c | 3,050$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.82 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…e203backed Yes | 70c | 3,005$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…48b2backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…3150backed Yes | 69c | 2,881$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 26c | 2,532$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.28 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…f516backed No | 8c | 2,333$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…181ebacked No | 27c | 2,260$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…25abbacked No | 37c | 2,197$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 76c | 2,184$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.08 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…5044backed No | 17c | 2,168$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…aebfbacked Yes | 69c | 2,055$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…dde2backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e7…88adbacked No | 39c | 1,983$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 34c | 1,980$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…a455backed No | 35c | 1,974$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…e6fabacked Yes | 57c | 1,755$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…c2acbacked Yes | 76c | 1,722$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 1,533$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…156ebacked No | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…a694backed No | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 29c | 1,208$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.35 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,204$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 23c | 1,127$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 13c | 1,055$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 13c | 1,010$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8914backed Yes | 67c | 1,009$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…4ea5backed No | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…7395backed No | 36c | 1,000$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed No | 37c | 1,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…7a58backed No | 43c | 976.74$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 37c | 950$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a3…12f0backed Yes | 78c | 941.11$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 71c | 931$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.04 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 22c | 930.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd3…68d5backed No | 25c | 906.25$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…da0ebacked Yes | 77c | 900.01$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.88 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 23c | 882.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 69c | 814.29$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.29 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…8d53backed Yes | 71c | 708.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…d98dbacked Yes | 70c | 697.89$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 73c | 685$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…f2c8backed Yes | 74c | 667.19$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1df1backed No | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…879dbacked No | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 25c | 638.56$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 76c | 602.01$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…1cd5backed Yes | 69c | 600$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 64c | 600$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…2b4abacked No | 43c | 600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked No | 35c | 566.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Yes | 75c | 560$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked Yes | 74c | 552$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c2…7c65backed Yes | 79c | 540$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 57c | 500$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…a905backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf8…07fdbacked No | 27c | 500$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…7812backed Yes | 58c | 500$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…4822backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed Yes | 63c | 476.87$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…7375backed Yes | 65c | 476.86$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 69c | 465$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 27c | 408.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 61c | 408.29$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.