Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f20debe0c978a8cfffa20cc3019dd3740c945bb577f12c0d4b8c82c4bf0647f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,145,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,300,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,145,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde92…5e10backed Yes | 18c | 115,305$20,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,253.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 7c | 105,397$7,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,805.39 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…750bbacked Yes | 4c | 42,797$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.82 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…de4ebacked Yes | 17c | 29,019$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…13ebbacked Yes | 2c | 24,000$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 11c | 23,506$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.63 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 11c | 22,127$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.24 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 2c | 21,810$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 20,377$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…7ebfbacked Yes | 16c | 14,975$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 13c | 14,900$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…0b7abacked Yes | 10c | 14,617$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 10c | 14,055$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…4f21backed Yes | 13c | 13,336$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 13,287$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.67 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…9b66backed Yes | 8c | 13,067$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…3c26backed Yes | 15c | 12,977$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 17c | 12,918$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 12,738$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.02 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…2885backed Yes | 15c | 12,717$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 4c | 12,043$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.36 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Yes | 10c | 10,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…1989backed Yes | 15c | 10,446$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 12c | 10,236$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…7de2backed Yes | 15c | 10,235$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 4c | 9,243$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 14c | 8,847$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.22 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 4c | 8,517$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.31 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 5c | 8,500$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…6929backed Yes | 4c | 8,384$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7e2dbacked Yes | 6c | 8,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…30a7backed Yes | 5c | 8,071$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 13c | 7,988$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.91 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…33c9backed Yes | 9c | 7,308$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,152$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 9c | 7,107$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.04 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 6,980$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.94 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…407dbacked Yes | 14c | 6,545$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 15c | 5,659$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde83…d7eabacked Yes | 6c | 5,455$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 5,204$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 20c | 5,077$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 20c | 5,031$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 14c | 4,999$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…7684backed Yes | 10c | 4,567$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 10c | 4,161$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.29 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…cf9abacked Yes | 17c | 4,070$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…74bdbacked Yes | 14c | 4,011$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…e98dbacked Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…74ccbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…1b46backed Yes | 12c | 3,989$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.68 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 15c | 3,923$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.44 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 1c | 3,792$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…6ee8backed Yes | 11c | 3,760$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…96babacked Yes | 14c | 3,580$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 8c | 3,565$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.82 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4681…a224backed Yes | 13c | 3,555$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a3…6bd4backed Yes | 13c | 3,267$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…8596backed Yes | 17c | 3,254$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.1 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed No | 80c | 3,240$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 3,093$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 6c | 3,002$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 15c | 2,937$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 7c | 2,800$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…7f87backed Yes | 20c | 2,734$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 13c | 2,581$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.95 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 11c | 2,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…8ef3backed Yes | 1c | 2,498$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…2e45backed Yes | 2c | 2,410$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…77fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,408$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…3822backed Yes | 6c | 2,389$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…85febacked Yes | 1c | 2,249$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…d50bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,214$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,184$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.81 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 6c | 2,161$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,070$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56c…f597backed Yes | 12c | 2,041$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed Yes | 1c | 2,035$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…84c2backed Yes | 1c | 2,030$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0b79backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +267.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…5194backed Yes | 5c | 1,977$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,938$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…a549backed Yes | 16c | 1,876$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…005bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,865$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Yes | 9c | 1,853$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,850$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…49bfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,805$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b3…c26dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,803$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…1f09backed Yes | 19c | 1,789$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 13c | 1,786$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.61 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 6c | 1,726$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 10c | 1,659$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.