Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c23ad7af38087ab27f94fd35eec62b4f53c0d6edd16bf04d85b7c456dc777de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,721,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,795,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,721,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 488,745$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.07 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 242,369$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.37 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 154,522$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.38 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9c7fbacked Yes | 2c | 104,445$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 99,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…a905backed Yes | 10c | 94,967$9,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,924.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 56,633$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.24 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…4ef7backed Yes | 1c | 56,624$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 52,131$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 5c | 46,252$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.12 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…5259backed Yes | 1c | 44,559$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 3c | 40,029$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…3e38backed Yes | 6c | 37,998$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…bf6abacked Yes | 7c | 37,978$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 1c | 27,607$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ee…894bbacked Yes | 7c | 26,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 12c | 24,717$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…d787backed Yes | 5c | 23,006$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.97 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df7…c902backed Yes | 15c | 22,705$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 3c | 22,343$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.37 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e4…6cf1backed Yes | 1c | 21,905$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 5c | 20,027$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 7c | 19,589$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.01 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 8c | 18,027$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.45 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…4925backed Yes | 6c | 17,787$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…8b38backed Yes | 4c | 17,715$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…f201backed Yes | 12c | 17,271$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…e360backed Yes | 0c | 16,979$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…0c7fbacked Yes | 4c | 16,786$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 16,105$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.94 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,035$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 70c | 14,980$10,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…3be7backed Yes | 1c | 14,664$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 7c | 14,600$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.49 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…97a5backed Yes | 30c | 14,585$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…ec12backed Yes | 4c | 13,705$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 5c | 13,700$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 3c | 13,411$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ce…865cbacked Yes | 4c | 13,265$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…b29fbacked Yes | 8c | 12,975$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 12c | 12,838$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…3fe2backed Yes | 1c | 12,461$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb292…22e0backed Yes | 8c | 12,104$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…141bbacked Yes | 8c | 12,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 16c | 11,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 11c | 11,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…6712backed No | 78c | 10,938$8,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…3503backed Yes | 5c | 10,430$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…e203backed Yes | 12c | 9,891$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.03 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5083backed Yes | 3c | 9,704$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 8c | 9,252$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.29 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 9,251$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…2eaebacked Yes | 5c | 8,560$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…a948backed Yes | 4c | 8,092$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…9f67backed Yes | 14c | 7,776$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…ede7backed Yes | 1c | 7,673$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…01bcbacked Yes | 2c | 7,630$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…8bb0backed Yes | 13c | 7,616$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…4290backed Yes | 19c | 7,550$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…e844backed Yes | 0c | 7,507$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd709…5f46backed Yes | 4c | 7,499$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc695…c521backed Yes | 13c | 7,307$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 5c | 7,200$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca3…fff2backed Yes | 15c | 6,799$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad75…6ab2backed Yes | 5c | 6,617$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Yes | 24c | 6,583$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 6,219$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…0756backed Yes | 5c | 6,191$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 11c | 5,810$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.96 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…fcabbacked Yes | 3c | 5,733$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 5,700$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.13 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…e2d3backed Yes | 0c | 5,667$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 5c | 5,600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…1f41backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 12c | 5,313$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…a858backed Yes | 1c | 5,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…70f6backed Yes | 0c | 5,170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…2772backed Yes | 1c | 5,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…b319backed Yes | 7c | 5,082$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.7 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…9573backed Yes | 20c | 5,013$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…ed66backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22f0backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes | 10c | 4,961$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…8e44backed Yes | 1c | 4,950$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…283abacked Yes | 14c | 4,737$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…ac09backed Yes | 9c | 4,732$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…f8c2backed Yes | 1c | 4,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…7656backed Yes | 1c | 4,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…e4cebacked Yes | 4c | 4,590$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…aef6backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da1…4c6cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf204…9cc2backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…ea9dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…553ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.